This is a weekly overview of my personal sports trading results on teams from the Belgian Jupiler League documenting my journey toward long-term profit with some insights on my overall approach.
After 34 weeks, the regular season in the Belgian Jupiler League has finally come to a close and it was once again a fun ride making some decent profit in the process also ending in style gaining close to 2 units last weekend. The entire process of following the league, handicapping the matches trying to find an edge over the general betting market while blogging about it remains something I highly enjoy which certainly helps to make it all profitable now the 4th year in a row. I am planning to keep this general approach for the seasons to come also.
The only pre-game bet I ended up taking and highlighting in the previews lost by 1 corner but I couldn't have been more pleased with the overall results these pre-game bets produced during the entire season. The 222 bets combined each with flat 1 unit stakes showed a +21.37 unit profit good for +9.63% ROI. I certainly ran hot but the overall info was solid overall even though it's not as easy to fully duplicate it due to limits & moving odds on the betting markets.
I plan to keep this style highlighting pre-game bets I took keeping track with flat stakes and will also start including a lot more 'beer bets' taken on Decentralized Crypto Bookmakers. Right now, I am mostly using sportbet.one | Wagerr | Wink.org and I also have some investments in those as crypto projects because they are the ones that actually get me to the point that I use them. I did have 1 bet on Waasland-Beveren to win @ 4.51 taken on Wagerr highlighted in the Sunday Previews Post. It ended up as a nice winner.
Next season or maybe even during the playoffs already, I will start keeping track of these smaller beer bets aswell.
Something popped up this week where I saw enough value to put in a big bet also taking it on Copytip while sharing it in the SBC Discord Channel as a live bet. This bet on Antwerp -0.5 Corners after they scored the 1-2 was a no brainer and by far my biggest bet of the week which ended up winning around 1.6 units with the middle cover bet which also won included.
It was a rather slow season taking bets on Copytip since I switched more toward having multiple smaller bets instead of taking bigger stakes at once with confidence due to the special conditions with no fans and covid cases. I hope to get this back on track next season but I will see how it goes. The main goal still remains the same to be able to show a long-term profit with a sold ROI over time without ever forcing anything. I have taken 87 bets in total now there with flat stakes good for 8.44% ROI so in that regard, everything is going as planned.
Copytip /Discord Bets Season 2020-2021
19/04/2020 Anwterp -0.5 CK @ 1.92 (73' 6-3) FT 9-4 Bet WON
14/03/2020 Racing Genk +0 @ 2.720 (0-2 69') FT 1-2 LOST
11/12/2020 Racing Genk +0 @ 1.945 FT 1-0 LOST
01/11/2020 Antwerp +0 @ 2.500 FT 1-0 LOST
03/10/2020 OHL vs Zulte 1H U 1.25 @ 1.989 HT 1-0 HALF WON
30/08/2020 Club Brugge -0.25 @ 1.846 (20' 0-0) FT 2-1 WON
22/08/2020 Zulte Team Total over 2 @ 1.924 (37' 1-0) FT 4-1 WON
I take all my Pre-Game & Live bets with my Betting Broker Sportmarket Pro who always provides the best offers on the market with a 1 click solution and doesn't limit winning players offering high limits. For more info check my Sportmarket Pro Review
The season-long chart I keep of all the bets I have taken during the season (1389 in total) pretty much exactly landed on the +3.2% ROI expected profit pink line. More than other seasons, I have been playing in a way where I reduce variance taking more cover bets which kept the variance relatively low. So +11.518 units profit on the season with an average bet size of ~0.25 units is certainly ok and nothing to complain about. Any season I would sign in advance for a +3.2% ROI result pretty much since it is hard to get in a confidence zone where you just know that you are on top of the market, crushing it especially these days when line setting has become close to an exact science.
Previous Personal Results 2020-2021
Week 34 Results 28 Bets | 17W-11L-00P | Staked 07.026u | +1.966u Profit
Week 33 Results 55 Bets | 29W-24L-02P | Staked 15.644u | +0.246u Profit
Week 32 Results 30 Bets | 12W-15L-03P | Staked 08.768u | -3.122u Loss..
Week 31 Results 43 Bets | 24W-14L-05P | Staked 12.208u | +0.348u Profit
Week 30 Results 58 Bets | 23W-31L-04P | Staked 13.854u | -2.152u Loss..
Week 29 Results 55 Bets | 27W-23L-05P | Staked 11.674u | +0.832u Profit
Week 28 Results 44 Bets | 20W-17L-07P | Staked 12.872u | +1.872u Profit
Week 27 Results 47 Bets | 23W-19L-05P | Staked 13.134u | +0.902u Profit
Week 26 Results 25 Bets | 14W-10L-01P | Staked 05.482u | +1.702u Profit
Week 25 Results 25 Bets | 12W-11L-02P | Staked 05.706u | +0.878u Profit
Week 24 Results 22 Bets | 08W-12L-01P | Staked 06.194u | +1.250u Profit
Week 23 Results 21 Bets | 08W-12L-01P | Staked 05.728u | -0.806u Loss..
Week 22 Results 32 Bets | 15W-14L-03P | Staked 08.086u | -0.494u Loss..
Week 21 Results 40 Bets | 18W-20L-02P | Staked 10.204u | -2.314u Loss..
Week 20 Results 54 Bets | 24W-25L-05P | Staked 12.806u | -0.376u Loss..
Week 19 Results 36 Bets | 16W-17L-03P | Staked 08.248u | -0.388u Loss..
Week 18 Results 34 Bets | 06W-07L-03P | Staked 09.184u | +2.006u Profit
Week 17 Results 16 Bets | 06W-07L-03P | Staked 04.340u | -0.364u Loss..
Week 16 Results 34 Bets | 10W-22L-02P | Staked 08.852u | -2.430u Loss..
Week 15 Results 50 Bets | 37W-33L-14P | Staked 20.970u | +2.644u Profit
Week 14 Results 50 Bets | 25W-18L-07P | Staked 13.498u | +3.146u Profit
Week 13 Results 47 Bets | 20W-20L-07P | Staked 10.676u | +0.660u Profit
Week 12 Results 61 Bets | 23W-31L-06P | Staked 14.378u | -1.700u Loss..
Week 11 Results 45 Bets | 22W-20L-03P | Staked 12.672u | +0.804u Profit
Week 10 Results 44 Bets | 17W-20L-07P | Staked 11.058u | -1.140u Loss..
Week 09 Results 35 Bets | 17W-12L-06P | Staked 09.292u | +1.654u Profit
Week 08 Results 58 Bets | 29W-24L-05P | Staked 15.844u | +5.014u Profit
Week 07 Results 62 Bets | 36W-21L-05P | Staked 15.666u | +3.696u Profit
Week 06 Results 43 Bets | 11W-28L-05P | Staked 12.086u | -3.610u Loss..
Week 05 Results 41 Bets | 23W-14L-04P | Staked 09.880u | +2.590u Profit
Week 04 Results 39 Bets | 16W-18L-05P | Staked 12.258u | -0.604u Loss..
Week 03 Results 44 Bets | 19W-17L-08P | Staked 11.580u | +2.748u Profit
Week 02 Results 21 Bets | 08W-12L-01P | Staked 05.972u | -1.096u Loss..
Week 01 Results 15 Bets | 04W-10L-01P | Staked 05.618u | -2.724u Loss..
Regular Season 2020-2021 Results 1389 Bets | 636W-612L-142P | 361.457 Staked | +11.518u Profit | +3.19% ROI
I'll continue the season with the Cup Final and the playoffs but as always will record these results separately on my blog.