This is a weekly overview of my personal sports trading results on teams from the Belgian Jupiler League documenting my journey toward long-term profit with some insights on my overall approach.
Week 21 was one of those weeks where frustration was quite high as things just didn't go my way seeing red cards and comedy caper goals despite the bets themselves not being bad. The fact that I am slowly increasing my stakes also makes it so that swings increase a bit. overall, the damage was fairly limited to -2.3 units but it still sucks to lose this way.
I was overdue for a losing week in the pre-game bets as these have been red hot all season long in a way that is not sustainable. All 3 bets this week ended up losing and I hope this is not a new trend emerging and things will just go sideways instead of having a steep correction down. I will just continue the same way I have been doing all season long as I strongly believe these bets are +EV in the long run which is what it is all about.
I'm still taking a low profile when it comes down to taking bigger bets also taking them on Copytip while sharing on the SBC Discord Channel and on my Twitter (@costanzabets)as official bets. I might have 1 this week but I still have to look deeper into it which I will do today
Copytip /Discord Bets Season 2020-2021
11/12/2020 Racing Genk +0 @ 1.945 FT 1-0 LOST
01/11/2020 Antwerp +0 @ 2.500 FT 1-0 LOST
03/10/2020 OHL vs Zulte 1H U 1.25 @ 1.989 HT 1-0 HALF WON
30/08/2020 Club Brugge -0.25 @ 1.846 (20' 0-0) FT 2-1 WON
22/08/2020 Zulte Team Total over 2 @ 1.924 (37' 1-0) FT 4-1 WON
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Overall results have come down again to the expected pink line which I would hate to get below in the coming weeks and it can go quickly. The Pink line should become a bit steeper as I continue to increase my stakes. . I could easily increase my stakes by a lot (x2)now as my bankroll allows it but I also don't want to screw up my overall results when getting into a bad streak. I'll see where things go the coming weeks and I'll do what I can to get myself in another streak where profit shoots up to a safe zone above the expected line.
Previous Personal Results 2020-2021
Week 21 Results 40 Bets | 18W-20L-02P | Staked 10.204u | -2.314u Loss..
Week 20 Results 54 Bets | 24W-25L-05P | Staked 12.806u | -0.376u Loss..
Week 19 Results 36 Bets | 16W-17L-03P | Staked 08.248u | -0.388u Loss..
Week 18 Results 34 Bets | 06W-07L-03P | Staked 09.184u | +2.006u Profit
Week 17 Results 16 Bets | 06W-07L-03P | Staked 04.340u | -0.364u Loss..
Week 16 Results 34 Bets | 10W-22L-02P | Staked 08.852u | -2.430u Loss..
Week 15 Results 50 Bets | 37W-33L-14P | Staked 20.970u | +2.644u Profit
Week 14 Results 50 Bets | 25W-18L-07P | Staked 13.498u | +3.146u Profit
Week 13 Results 47 Bets | 20W-20L-07P | Staked 10.676u | +0.660u Profit
Week 12 Results 61 Bets | 23W-31L-06P | Staked 14.378u | -1.700u Loss..
Week 11 Results 45 Bets | 22W-20L-03P | Staked 12.672u | +0.804u Profit
Week 10 Results 44 Bets | 17W-20L-07P | Staked 11.058u | -1.140u Loss..
Week 09 Results 35 Bets | 17W-12L-06P | Staked 09.292u | +1.654u Profit
Week 08 Results 58 Bets | 29W-24L-05P | Staked 15.844u | +5.014u Profit
Week 07 Results 62 Bets | 36W-21L-05P | Staked 15.666u | +3.696u Profit
Week 06 Results 43 Bets | 11W-28L-05P | Staked 12.086u | -3.610u Loss..
Week 05 Results 41 Bets | 23W-14L-04P | Staked 09.880u | +2.590u Profit
Week 04 Results 39 Bets | 16W-18L-05P | Staked 12.258u | -0.604u Loss..
Week 03 Results 44 Bets | 19W-17L-08P | Staked 11.580u | +2.748u Profit
Week 02 Results 21 Bets | 08W-12L-01P | Staked 05.972u | -1.096u Loss..
Week 01 Results 15 Bets | 04W-10L-01P | Staked 05.618u | -2.724u Loss..
Regular Season 2020-2021 Results 902 Bets | 398W-403L-100P | 235.081 Staked | +8.100u Profit | +3.45% ROI
Week 22 already starts tonight and will be over on Thursday. Expect previews on all matches and a results overview this Friday already...