Week 1 Results | 4W-10L-1P | -2.724 Units Loss

Week 1 Results | 4W-10L-1P | -2.724 Units Loss

By costanza | Costanza Sports Betting | 11 Aug 2020


I have been using my blog as a way to keep track of my personal betting results in the Belgian Jupiler league for the last 3 years. The main purpose of my record-keeping is that it helps me a lot to stay extremely disciplined. I also always try to include some insights into things I do that help me increase my chance to actually beat this market in the long run.

 

This opening week did not turn out as I hoped for as it felt impossible to win a single bet. It is what it is and I don't mind so much about the short run as long as I still have strong reasons to have long term profit expectations. Looking at previous years weekly results during the regular season

Season 2019-2020 | 12 Losing weeks Out of 29 | Total 1406 Bets +2.48% ROI
Season 2018-2019 | 15 Losing weeks Out of 30 | Total 1090 Bets +2.47% ROI
Season 2017-2018 | 12 Losing weeks Out of 30 | Total 821 Bets +7.22% ROI

So there is a long way to go still in this season. Usually, when I'm down, I tend to become a bit more cautious on my stakes to avoid the risk of digging a hole to climb out of. Aside from that, I just see everything bet-by-bet and week-by-week taking the variance for what it is since proper bankroll management pretty much takes care of that.


copy.png

I didn't have any big official bets in the first week which I also take on Copytip and clearly share in my blog posts or on the SBC Discord channel in case they are live bets. I tend to be extra cautious on these and current situation with Covid, the heat wave along with the fact that there were no fans made everything feel like somewhat of a coinflip. As more matches are played there should be more info on potential overvalued/undervalued teams to possibly bet on.

SMPxyz.jpg

I take all my Live bets with my Betting Broker Sportmarket Pro who always provide the best offers on the market with a 1 click solution and don't limit winning players offering high limits. For more info check my Sportmarket Pro Review


01.jpg

Without any volume, the gap between the expected profit (pink line) and the actual result will always be quite big and it takes time for both to get a lot closer to each other. Basically, if you bet 1000€ at 2.0 odds and expect to win 3.2% you will be up 1000€ or down 1000€ while your expectation is only 32€. In that regard, betting is really a grind where you have to get in a lot of plays.


Previous Personal Results 2020-2021
Week 01 Results 15 Bets | 04W-10L-01P | Staked 05.618u | -2.724u Loss..

 

Regular Season 2019-2020 Results
15 Bets | 4W-10L-1P | 5.618 Staked | -2.724u Loss | -48.49% ROI


I'm looking forward to week 2 in the league and will do what I can to get in the green again. I already have a couple of ideas and might take a bigger bet early in the week which will be shared on Twitter (@costanzabets) the moment that I take it.


Hive: https://hive.blog/@costanza
Steemit: https://steemit.com/@costanza
Publish0x: https://publish0x.com/costanza
Uptrennd: https://www.uptrennd.com/user/costanza
Twitter: https://twitter.com/costanzabets


Costanza Sports Betting
Costanza Sports Betting

Blog With Previews & Bets from The Belgian Jupiler league and Transparant Record Keeping

Send a $0.01 microtip in crypto to the author, and earn yourself as you read!

20% to author / 80% to me.
We pay the tips from our rewards pool.