This is a weekly overview of my personal sports trading results on teams from the Belgian Jupiler League documenting my journey toward long-term profit with some insights on my overall approach.
This now was the 6th week with positive results in a row and the good streak continues making another 0.832 units profit from 55 bets. It was kind of a strange week with many matches where I liked a certain bet also believing better odds were possible in-game which made me cost-average a lot of lower stakes.
I am thinking of adjusting my approach a bit now having monitored things for a while. There are so many matches where I see a winner but also odds that are completely adjusted to it making me stay away as it is hard to say that the odds are set wrong. The same thing goes with the matches where lines make no sense whatsoever that move even toward that direction. Right now I avoid opposing those even though my fundamental analysis of the match shows value. I need to get to a point where I'm able to completely go counter-intuitive betting almost purely based on what the market indicates. These types of bets just had an insane hit rate which also turned out to be deserved wins. I will continue to monitor it and likely start betting like this more next season in a controlled way.
I didn't have all too many bets with big staked but still managed to highlight 6 pre-game selections I took in the previews throughout the week (Europa League Previews | Friday Preview | Saturday Previews | Sunday Previews | Monday Preview). They went 3W-2L-1P and all pre-game bets from the previews this season now add up to 199 with +13.78% ROI results on flat stakes.
Still no action when it comes down to taking bigger bets also taking them on Copytip while sharing on the SBC Discord Channel (Drop me a reply to get an invite) and on my Twitter (@costanzabets) as official bets.
Copytip /Discord Bets Season 2020-2021
11/12/2020 Racing Genk +0 @ 1.945 FT 1-0 LOSTSportmarket Pro who always provide the best offers on the market with a 1 click solution and don't limit winning players offering high limits. For more info check my Sportmarket Pro Review
01/11/2020 Antwerp +0 @ 2.500 FT 1-0 LOST
03/10/2020 OHL vs Zulte 1H U 1.25 @ 1.989 HT 1-0 HALF WON
30/08/2020 Club Brugge -0.25 @ 1.846 (20' 0-0) FT 2-1 WON
22/08/2020 Zulte Team Total over 2 @ 1.924 (37' 1-0) FT 4-1 WON
The season chart is looking nice pretty much setting higher highs and higher lows staying above the expected pink profit line. I do plan to make another slight increase in stakes in the coming weeks but also don't want to get in a position where 1 or 2 losing weeks can potentially wipe out a lot of the earnings from the last 6 weeks. Overall, it remains a fun grind and I can only be happy about seeing the chart progress like this now at +4.68% after 1174 bets. There are 5 more weeks in the regular season followed by playoff which I might take an even more cautious approach on gearing up for the 2021-2022 Season.
Previous Personal Results 2020-2021
Week 29 Results 55 Bets | 27W-23L-05P | Staked 11.674u | +0.832u Profit
Week 28 Results 44 Bets | 20W-17L-07P | Staked 12.872u | +1.872u Profit
Week 27 Results 47 Bets | 23W-19L-05P | Staked 13.134u | +0.902u Profit
Week 26 Results 25 Bets | 14W-10L-01P | Staked 05.482u | +1.702u Profit
Week 25 Results 25 Bets | 12W-11L-02P | Staked 05.706u | +0.878u Profit
Week 24 Results 22 Bets | 08W-12L-01P | Staked 06.194u | +1.250u Profit
Week 23 Results 21 Bets | 08W-12L-01P | Staked 05.728u | -0.806u Loss..
Week 22 Results 32 Bets | 15W-14L-03P | Staked 08.086u | -0.494u Loss..
Week 21 Results 40 Bets | 18W-20L-02P | Staked 10.204u | -2.314u Loss..
Week 20 Results 54 Bets | 24W-25L-05P | Staked 12.806u | -0.376u Loss..
Week 19 Results 36 Bets | 16W-17L-03P | Staked 08.248u | -0.388u Loss..
Week 18 Results 34 Bets | 06W-07L-03P | Staked 09.184u | +2.006u Profit
Week 17 Results 16 Bets | 06W-07L-03P | Staked 04.340u | -0.364u Loss..
Week 16 Results 34 Bets | 10W-22L-02P | Staked 08.852u | -2.430u Loss..
Week 15 Results 50 Bets | 37W-33L-14P | Staked 20.970u | +2.644u Profit
Week 14 Results 50 Bets | 25W-18L-07P | Staked 13.498u | +3.146u Profit
Week 13 Results 47 Bets | 20W-20L-07P | Staked 10.676u | +0.660u Profit
Week 12 Results 61 Bets | 23W-31L-06P | Staked 14.378u | -1.700u Loss..
Week 11 Results 45 Bets | 22W-20L-03P | Staked 12.672u | +0.804u Profit
Week 10 Results 44 Bets | 17W-20L-07P | Staked 11.058u | -1.140u Loss..
Week 09 Results 35 Bets | 17W-12L-06P | Staked 09.292u | +1.654u Profit
Week 08 Results 58 Bets | 29W-24L-05P | Staked 15.844u | +5.014u Profit
Week 07 Results 62 Bets | 36W-21L-05P | Staked 15.666u | +3.696u Profit
Week 06 Results 43 Bets | 11W-28L-05P | Staked 12.086u | -3.610u Loss..
Week 05 Results 41 Bets | 23W-14L-04P | Staked 09.880u | +2.590u Profit
Week 04 Results 39 Bets | 16W-18L-05P | Staked 12.258u | -0.604u Loss..
Week 03 Results 44 Bets | 19W-17L-08P | Staked 11.580u | +2.748u Profit
Week 02 Results 21 Bets | 08W-12L-01P | Staked 05.972u | -1.096u Loss..
Week 01 Results 15 Bets | 04W-10L-01P | Staked 05.618u | -2.724u Loss..
Regular Season 2020-2021 Results 1174 Bets | 530W-517L-128P | 303.957 Staked | +14.235u Profit | +4.68% ROI
Plenty of Action again during the next 7 days with the quarter-finals of the cup being played on Wednesday and Thursday followed by a regular schedule of League matches from Friday to Monday. I intend to make previews on all of those matches and will be back with the results 7 days from now...