This is a weekly overview of my personal sports trading results on teams from the Belgian Jupiler League documenting my journey toward long-term profit with some insights on my overall approach.
The current uptrend continues now having a 5th winning week in a row also reaching a new season-high profit, so things are going pretty well overall as planned. I did get close to some jackpot situations where 1 goal would have made me a lot more profit on a specific match but so far these haven't really hit this season. On the other hand, there also were some matches where I could have lost some more and these things just tend to even out. Like they say in crypto, "when in doubt, zoom out" which is one of the main reasons why all that are more serious about sports betting should keep long-term statistics putting them into a graph. There is just very little hiding behind bad luck or other situations where things could have gone differently when you have a 5k+ bet sample.
The number of pre-game bets I'm taking which are highlighted in all the previews I'm making is picking up again as my overall grip on all the teams along with my confidence is growing. There were 9 selections last 7 days going 3W-3L-3P good for a minor -0.508 units. All season long, Pre-Game bets have been really hot while live betting (which often includes hedge positions to reduce variance) were lacking. Right now, the live bets are back in the green doing +2.11% on 568 bets. Overall there have been 193 bold pre-game selections which resulted in +13.82% for +26.669 units profit when counting them as flat 1 unit bets. There remains a gap between actually being able to bet all for 1 unit flat at the odds I took though and they should just be taken as information instead of actual betting recommendations.
Still no action when it comes down to taking bigger bets also taking them on Copytip while sharing on the SBC Discord Channel (Drop me a reply to get an invite) and on my Twitter (@costanzabets) as official bets.
Copytip /Discord Bets Season 2020-2021
11/12/2020 Racing Genk +0 @ 1.945 FT 1-0 LOST
01/11/2020 Antwerp +0 @ 2.500 FT 1-0 LOST
03/10/2020 OHL vs Zulte 1H U 1.25 @ 1.989 HT 1-0 HALF WON
30/08/2020 Club Brugge -0.25 @ 1.846 (20' 0-0) FT 2-1 WON
22/08/2020 Zulte Team Total over 2 @ 1.924 (37' 1-0) FT 4-1 WON
I take all my Pre-Game & Live bets with my Betting Broker Sportmarket Pro who always provide the best offers on the market with a 1 click solution and don't limit winning players offering high limits. For more info check my Sportmarket Pro Review
I'm loving the chart right now and I guess making sure to reduce risk in-game on quite some positions (mainly unders) really does lower the variance a lot. Swings have been kept fairly low over the season with the worst downswing being 6 units (when you count the average bet size around 0.4 units it's more something in the range of 15 units which still is ok given the sheer number of bets I manage to pump out. My standard small bet size is now around 0.5 units but I do intend to increase it some more toward the end of the season since my bankroll can easily handle it. I'll see how I will go about it the coming weeks.
Previous Personal Results 2020-2021
Week 28 Results 44 Bets | 20W-17L-07P | Staked 12.872u | +1.872u Profit
Week 27 Results 47 Bets | 23W-19L-05P | Staked 13.134u | +0.902u Profit
Week 26 Results 25 Bets | 14W-10L-01P | Staked 05.482u | +1.702u Profit
Week 25 Results 25 Bets | 12W-11L-02P | Staked 05.706u | +0.878u Profit
Week 24 Results 22 Bets | 08W-12L-01P | Staked 06.194u | +1.250u Profit
Week 23 Results 21 Bets | 08W-12L-01P | Staked 05.728u | -0.806u Loss..
Week 22 Results 32 Bets | 15W-14L-03P | Staked 08.086u | -0.494u Loss..
Week 21 Results 40 Bets | 18W-20L-02P | Staked 10.204u | -2.314u Loss..
Week 20 Results 54 Bets | 24W-25L-05P | Staked 12.806u | -0.376u Loss..
Week 19 Results 36 Bets | 16W-17L-03P | Staked 08.248u | -0.388u Loss..
Week 18 Results 34 Bets | 06W-07L-03P | Staked 09.184u | +2.006u Profit
Week 17 Results 16 Bets | 06W-07L-03P | Staked 04.340u | -0.364u Loss..
Week 16 Results 34 Bets | 10W-22L-02P | Staked 08.852u | -2.430u Loss..
Week 15 Results 50 Bets | 37W-33L-14P | Staked 20.970u | +2.644u Profit
Week 14 Results 50 Bets | 25W-18L-07P | Staked 13.498u | +3.146u Profit
Week 13 Results 47 Bets | 20W-20L-07P | Staked 10.676u | +0.660u Profit
Week 12 Results 61 Bets | 23W-31L-06P | Staked 14.378u | -1.700u Loss..
Week 11 Results 45 Bets | 22W-20L-03P | Staked 12.672u | +0.804u Profit
Week 10 Results 44 Bets | 17W-20L-07P | Staked 11.058u | -1.140u Loss..
Week 09 Results 35 Bets | 17W-12L-06P | Staked 09.292u | +1.654u Profit
Week 08 Results 58 Bets | 29W-24L-05P | Staked 15.844u | +5.014u Profit
Week 07 Results 62 Bets | 36W-21L-05P | Staked 15.666u | +3.696u Profit
Week 06 Results 43 Bets | 11W-28L-05P | Staked 12.086u | -3.610u Loss..
Week 05 Results 41 Bets | 23W-14L-04P | Staked 09.880u | +2.590u Profit
Week 04 Results 39 Bets | 16W-18L-05P | Staked 12.258u | -0.604u Loss..
Week 03 Results 44 Bets | 19W-17L-08P | Staked 11.580u | +2.748u Profit
Week 02 Results 21 Bets | 08W-12L-01P | Staked 05.972u | -1.096u Loss..
Week 01 Results 15 Bets | 04W-10L-01P | Staked 05.618u | -2.724u Loss..
Regular Season 2020-2021 Results 1119 Bets | 503W-494L-123P | 292.283 Staked | +13.404u Profit | +4.59% ROI
Things will get more to normal from now on as the regular season is slowly coming to an end. January and February were extremely busy and I'm glad I will have some breathing space with no matches on Tuesday and Wednesday. Fron Thursday to Monday, there will be more betting action and I will be back next Tuesday with another results update.