Crytomarket Weekly Overview and Forecast 01-22-21 to 01-29-21

By xuanling11 | Crypto Learning | 22 Jan 2021


This is more comprehensive overview on market in general.

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I will go over global financial market primary in U.S., currency index, commodities, bonds, stocks, and forecast on upcoming week.

Here we go!

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Major Economy Indicators

Gross Domestic Product (GDP): indicators of economy growth or decline.

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It seems GDP has improved a lot.

edabfea27c9661215210c203a6331ffa58e0d84b080076d558c36e17d4d5c74b.png

We were at the historical low point of GDP in 2020 which is -31.40!

How are we getting there and why the fluctuation was sooooooo high?

One of the problem is national debt!

09785d2c1a0e22e398c70137cb8cd1f07e9aa494ecbce08ae5057e80d83524bf.png

We are at 130.66% debt to GDP ratio which means we need to pay $1.3 to earn $1.

3490f07e45ba0d0c1a537a3e82ced84e37dfcbdd27ef67866ada2e48714b43fc.png

in 2025, we need to pay $2 to earn $1.

What?????

We are continue earning less as you can see the housing price has exponential since 1980s.

590d8a6c961a1462dfd5249d8954bee6a1a47085f9a2ca6aac9f0da1233dcc04.png

Another way to look at it is your spending power in CPI.

Consumer Price Index (CPI): it implies inflation rate.

9d65c288ccfa4d448cd21d986ebec986541491f9924ea27632b69d778c4afc71.png

It continue increasing which implies the inflation is continue rising.

776a04b0fe5e43d1f1f7684f9593c1291a28444f8f46e466690e9206a6f58a5b.png

However, our purchasing power has even further decreased!

Consumer Confidence Index (CCI): it implies financial market sentiment.

343cf72fa79704489e256a2b1836e6483d12a7a6d453bd354873cb1af4ec219e.png

It decrease a bit this month.

Job Growth: it indicates economic expansion or shrinking

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Unemployment Number:

05d7f2701649a27b9d0f7c9cf2c5606613c04caae668391dcc03d7d3e25cf38e.png

Job market has improved a bit.

Housing Starts: it indicates economic expansion or shrinking

9cbca37b94721359b7b0ba9ae621ddebaaf27e3b747b97622cb7254bd06589c1.png

Producer Price Index (PPI): it indicates direction of the CPI

40f9940904f1888d91c3087c8abd1a10db1180383ab7f9d13bbe7d1dea4b9f72.png

It continues trading higher.

Other economic supplemental indicators

Interest Rates:

08cf34bda599790b48159121c76aaa8e66ab60c11d31c1cf755d1f1f248c87c7.png

Inflation continues low as the money continue printing.

Money Supply

4cadd85c2c201fe9033f284e838bf5ff3cfe2c858e3851ee7c73d11a49519bb6.png

We are still printing out of trouble strategy in the short term.

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Trade Balance Index:

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We has not yet seen trade improve and I will not foresee any improvement in the near future.

Here is the Summary of the major economic indicators.

7a38605b041b9e45c2f87c1a6f6aeb8a4518fd78272889f02f3bfe8369035b32.png

The world economy continue improving from 2020 and beyond. My position is Bull in the coming week.

However, overall economy may not the indicator of financial market performance!

U.S. Dollar

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Dollar is recovering and will continue its trend up in the coming week.

Stock Market

Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) - Lower Range

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Sideways trading.

S&P 500 (SPX) - Mid Range

7efe840d7706e8b63dbf0a4a8f2529124a11b1c9e1628073ff8447dceb2159c1.png

Downward trending

NASDAQ Composite (IXIC) - Upper Range

f07eeaeba8c9a1b5eedabf2d235e50c6b71b5c2b6ee477d4b93bfcdddfd167b5.png

Downward trending

Volatility S&P 500 (VIX) - Risk Range

976fdde2ab7f4a6d91fa82287e4dbda8901a4236811670c84b4aa9c2f49cea3f.png

Upward trending.

Bond Market

US 10-year Bond Yield

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Trending downward. due to low interest rate.

Commodity

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Gold

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Silver

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Lithium

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Lithium is future energy source and it indicates the innovation that can replace oil industry.

Copper

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It indicates merging market trend and it will slow down in the coming week.

Crude Oil

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Crude oil is continue downward trending. However, economy recovery can help to recover the price.

Crytomarket

Bitcoin

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Bitcoin call volume significant drops and price correction may come in the week. However, it may stable around $30K.

Ethereum

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Ethereum buy volume increase indicate the price may move upward in the coming week.

Here is the Summary of the asset market.

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Thanks for reading and see you next week!

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You can reference my previous Bitcoin analysis here:

Bitcoin Technical Analysis 01-07-21📈

Bitcoin Technical Analysis 01-08-21📈

Bitcoin Technical Analysis 01-09-21📉

Bitcoin Technical Analysis 01-10-21📉

Bitcoin Technical Analysis 01-11-21📉

Bitcoin Technical Analysis 01-12-21📈

Bitcoin Technical Analysis 01-13-21📉

Bitcoin Technical Analysis 01-14-21📈

Bitcoin Technical Analysis 01-15-21📉

Bitcoin Technical Analysis 01-16-21📉

Bitcoin Technical Analysis 01-17-21📉

Bitcoin Technical Analysis 01-18-21📈

Bitcoin Technical Analysis 01-19-21📈

Bitcoin Technical Analysis 01-20-21📉

You can reference my Bitcoin methodology here and here.

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You can reference my previous Ethereum analysis here:

Ethereum Technical Analysis 01-07-21📈

Ethereum Technical Analysis 01-08-21📉

Ethereum Technical Analysis 01-09-21📈

Ethereum Technical Analysis 01-10-21📉

Ethereum Technical Analysis 01-11-21📉

Ethereum Technical Analysis 01-12-21📈

Ethereum Technical Analysis 01-13-21📉

Ethereum Technical Analysis 01-14-21📈

Ethereum Technical Analysis 01-15-21📉

Ethereum Technical Analysis 01-16-21📈

Ethereum Technical Analysis 01-17-21📉

Ethereum Technical Analysis 01-18-21📈

Ethereum Technical Analysis 01-19-21📈

Ethereum Technical Analysis 01-20-21📉

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You can reference my previous Dogecoin analysis here:

Doge Analysis 12-28-21📈

Doge Analysis 01-01-21📈

Doge Analysis 01-02-21📈

Doge Analysis 01-11-21📉

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You can reference my previous Cryptomarket analysis here:

Crytomarket Weekly Overview and Forecast 01-15-21 to 01-22-21🔥🔥

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Disclosure: I/we have no positions in any cryptocurrencies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it. I have no business relationship with any company whose cryptocurrencies are mentioned in this article. This information is only for educational purposes.

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