First, to understand the current "War Effect" on Crypto and whetheror not this a Bull Run Trigger, we need to do some homework on "the Ukraine" in the W5H sense to better understand the investor event signals and risk dynamics.
The Long Story: What is behind the MSM current "Beat the Drums of War" noise in "The Ukraine"
What most crypto investors do not know is "The Ukraine" is not a legally recognized country under Int'l law and has never been registered as a country, as such "The Ukraine" area under dispute, is actually legally owned and legally Internationally recognized by the UN and the International Court of Law (The Hague) as being owned by the legal Successor of the Soviet Union, which is the entity that created that internal administrative republic state of the Ukraine, purely to be managed as an administrative area under the Soviet Union, which means the legal successor 'state-ist' owner of "the Ukraine" is in fact, the country Russia. Before that, this multi-ethnic region "The Ukraine", of which 60% used to speak Ukrainian before the Soviet Union, where now maybe 20% of the people speak Ukrainian daily ,and most of those speak it poorly (they mostly use Russian in daily life) because its hard to learn when its not your 'mother tongue'. In fact "The Ukraine' was for 300 years, always part of Russia.
The current DPR and LPR regions, now recognized by the Russian legislature as legal states, are actually ethnically 80% majority Russian speaking with deep family ties to Russia. Russia has finally stepped in to stop the sporadic UKR current govt regime artillery shelling of the DPR and LPR for the past eight plus years. As such, the Russian legislature voted to stop this illegal aggression on the East part of Ukraine (really a Russian goal of buffer zones against illegal NATO encroachment) and is directing the Russian Military to remove the illegal CIA piloted 'UKR govt' regime' and the illegal bio labs as well as this regime's key their military sites are being neutralized, so the Ukrainian people can actually get control over their own region and create their own country in their image, not that of the CB and CIA types.
What is, Why and How does this "War" affect Crypto? More Whale moves and Central Bank Network Changes coming
Cryptos recently have been depressed 25%-40% largely by Whale crypto investors shifting their investment interests back to gold and silver(metals/mining) and also parking some of what are largely crypto speculative gains US Stable coins of different flavours, the trigger being the MSM Hysteria about the US Biden regimes inability get anything done in the face of rising inflation and the current furore they have created over "The Ukraine". This latest collective Whale Crypto Investor move imo, can best be described as an effort to largely shift Whale current and rapidly eroding crypto hard stores of value into tactical US $ liquidity. Whales are always looking to capture bargains on Main St. in the form of acquiring other non crypto assets at bargain prices. These Main St. asset buys are likely to be land and housing at cheaper prices but also select main street market assets with reliable revenue streams (Utility stocks anyone?). As such this current tactical shift by the Crypto Whales, who really control the crypto markets as a whole through high velocity AI/ML driven trading, is a "wait and see" move with much of their value now parked in US $ StableCoins, essentially a "Liquidity Parking Lot" for earlier crypto earnings made largely through what are automated order router speculation wars or in other words ,crypto gambling.
The Who: CB Network War on Crypto: Stopping the Bifurcation of World Financial Payment/Settlement Systems with 'War' in "The Ukraine"
First the What is really "under the hood" of the MSM banging the war drum. To cut to the chase and reduce analysis to the ridiculous, the Who goes like this, imo it's really the CB Network led by the forces controlling the US FED finding weird and wonderful ways to channel funds to the MSM paying them to beat those drums about Russian 'intrusion' into "The Ukraine". Let's face it, Also the Who is both the FED/CB Network Alliance and the Crypto Whales know the world of payment/settlement is splitting in two. The Crypto world of settlements being largely distributed crypto 'settlement' nodes run by many parties protected with various forms of encryption and privacy layers depending on crypto type. The legacy FED/CB Network settlement world is other. Today that network is changing from the SWIFT/IBAN system of settlement which was always controlled by the private ownership of the FED/CB Network and the BIS, into a new 'country government' centrally controlled settlement network, morphing one CB at a time at different speeds in each country into this new form. When complete we will all be subjected to a transformed FED/CB Network and BIS controlled International Settlement of "Global" CBDCs, with each Country CB running their own CBDC, where the National CBDC of choice will be the FED controlled US CBDC.
The split can be best seen by Main St. companies selling goods and services supporting settlement in Bitcoin or Ethereum.
As governments attempt to come down hard on crypto settlement networks trying to enforce regulation, more and more the Crypto Whale investor seeking privacy from government prying eyes trying to harvest taxes to fuel their own agendas, will start to shift some of those US Stable coins back into Bitcoin and Ethereum, where the ultra high risk part of the Whale "bet" imo, will get placed in the privacy coin market segment (Monero, Zcash, Dash, Pirate Chain, etc..) to actually provide a "flight of capital escape route" should these government regimes press too hard.
War, What is it good for? Absolutely Nothing? Crypto's next BIG Bull Run Start?
That's not the way these 'Vested Interests' see War, that is the Crypto Whale Investors or FED/CB Network owners, who in fact are largely the same group of investment houses which front Family trust money and large wealthy individual investment interests. What is Actually happening in "The Ukraine" is best determined with feet on the street reporting, not through the FED/CB Network controlled MSM. Even if the "truth" is discovered, it's highly unlikely we get a clear honest picture of what is really happening. My best guess, based on legal framework implications is that the EU will do absolutley nothing but saw the branch off on which they stand which is natural gas supply from Russia, where Germany the EU engine has largely turned off Nuclear and stopped mining Coal to go "green and woke". Utility prices powered by Green inefficiencies will of course soar together with higher NG prices from Russia, so Europe imo is in for a big world of Hurt, in that consumption will decline as discretionary household income shrinks, reducing purchase to absolute necessities and fueling a cheaper "repair" buy mentality rather than a more expensive "replace/upgrade" buy mentality. Hence the reason Used Car prices are skyrocketing around the world, with parts becoming scarcer, daily.
Thereafter, when Russia hands back "The Ukraine" to the Ukrainian people, we may think (naively) it's up to "the Ukraine" and their peoples which means borderlands , to self organize after that the best way they would like. That said "The Ukraine" really is the CB network's private trafficking regime for everything: people; drugs; money laundering; weapons sales to many different shady groups which include foundations such as the Clintons, as well as those special Biden biz deals among others, so I doubt a newly refreshed and legally formed Ukraine Republic and it's subsequent 'state' behaviour will change much IF "the Ukraine" stays under the control of the CB network, which is ultimately controlled by the Rothschild and Rockefeller Cadres via the BIS, those same people paying the MSM to bang the War drum.
The Crypto Bifurcation of your Investments in Crypto: Public and Private Coin Co-existence, but what's the right mix?
The mix is certainly shifting more towards private coins that it ever has, after the first euphoria peak, #Monero continues to climb in market cap, #Dash and #Zcash are also still in the Top 100 for Market Capt and Pirate coin ARRR, which imo is in it's infancy, did spike, has bottomed out and if they improve their wallet and market liquidity will start to inch up in value as investors realize AARRs privacy strengths. Certainly there are other privacy coins emerging and very much worthy of research before buying, so investors should not limit themselves to the above mentioned coins. Everyday there are new privacy coin technology developments which is a good thing, it's just hard to keep up.
TK Note- I do make use of the now venerable CoinTelepgraph to keep up weekly, as that group of crypto 'aficionados' do put out short concise coverage most of the time. Ultimately you and only you own your Risk bell curve which will determine your mix of risk in the form of investment, just keep shifting the bell curve left or right, less or more risk bias overall as these market moving events occur, false or true, because the investor herd will move the markets sooner or later. The trick is realizing an event is already complete, like the Russian re-ordering of Eastern Ukraine, that is done, so adjust accordingly. For me that means a shift in mix toward privacy coins and metals.
War Market Signals: When is the Next Big Crypto Bull move coming?
Seriously, the USA and EU , despite all the paid for MSM "Sabre Rattling" cannot change what has already happened on te ground in "The Ukraine". LPR and DPR now exist and are protected by Russia, and none of the above "state-ist" players are willing to risk life and limb really to change the situtation on the ground. So the first big event triggering an upcoming crypto bull move imo has already happened, and smart investors will buy low in crypto and Hodl, now. To be clear, Russia has already secured for LPR and DPR their border defences and air space, so both are now effectively Russia's new buffer zone, to counter what is an out of control aggressive NATO organization "chess move" to make the current UKR a member, where NATO is now really a Multi-country military organization which is partly run by the CB Network type interests "behind the curtain" , with the piloting CIA trying to have NATO encroach on "The Ukraine" area illegally.
Imo, the current changes in "The Ukraine" are not the USA's or EU's battle or problem and really, no soldiers or money or war equipment from any country should be sent there to create more human culling for $$$. Of course, that is wishful thinking on my part, because my own country Canada has already sent them, you guessed it, my tax payers money.
The Next Big FED/ CB Network: Total Enslavement?
So the FED/CB Network next big move imo, during and after the coming MSM outrage of "losing the war and Eastern Ukraine to Russia" , will be to "negotiate" a CB for a newly and first time registered legal Ukraine Republic, to make sure their private investors have a legal footprint there to do business with their CBDCs. Also expect Russia to 'reveal' the trafficking & bio-lab shite in "the Ukraine", financed ultimately by the private investors behind the FED/CB Network/CIA operatives directing and managing such shite and. The 'shite' will be both disgusting and very criminal so prepare yourselves for some pretty ugly reveals.
Crypto Prices and the Flow of Natural Gas: More NG Supply to EU Competition means higher crypto prices
Cheaper supply of NG to EU residents means lower Utility Stock prices and lower returns from such investments which sees the Whales invest elesewhere, which is likely good for the crypto market in general. An NG drop in price event post MSM "War" is not the price signalling event the CIA and CB types want to happen ,a result of the free flow of gas from the Ukraine into EU southern states , which would be largely benefiting the UKR people (via transit revenues for pipelines) and also lower CB Network /CIA profits from such NG gas sales, while lowering the cost of heating and cooling in the EU for the average EU member.
The above change allowing NG to freely flow to some of the EU States through Russian supported Syria, would change dynamics with Turkey as well ( Which is why Turkey are trying to close of Russian access via the Black sea access to the Mediterranean at the moment). Such a price change in NG EU supply would be clearly eroding CB Network controlled supply chain profits (Turkey transit NG pipelines) creating a more competitive NG market, also lowering the cost of living to benefit EU residents, which is why this CB/CIA effort is paying the MSM worldwide to foment a war in the area, so they can preserve their profit status quo.
We have hit Crypto's Rock Bottom, BIG Bull Run just started
So in closing, imo we are at the big crypto bottom now and its the best time to buy, where my own investment mix leans more toward private crypto.
Bull Run Trigger for Crypto? Imo yes.
Stay safe, do your homework and invest wisely,
TK over and out.
