Publication in Russian on the blog of Zen
https://dzen.ru/a/zykzpnetzujxhyun
Trump or Harris? Ukraine will win regardless of whether democrats or republicans will win, but for various reasons. Let's look at the reasons why this will happen. How is the economic theory of Adam Smith connected from his book "Wealth of Peoples" with Ukraine, Russia, presidential elections in the United States in 2024 and the world economy? This is a message of hope. Regardless of who will be supported in the elections, there is good news.
I INVITE YOU TO THE TELEGRAM CHANNEL
UNCENSORED
https://t.me/shipshard
In this publication, I will talk about the results of presidential elections in the United States in 2024. What does economic theory tell us about this and why is this a win -win option for Ukraine? Will the fate of the world and Ukraine determine the presidential elections in the USA and how will this happen? If Harris wins, this will probably mean the continuation of Biden's policy. If Trump wins, then this will also be a potential gain for Ukraine, but in a more confusing way. To do this, we turn to the economic theory of Adam Smith "The Wealth of Nations." If you think that other economists are superior to Smith in determining the wealth of nations, since there are many economic schools: Austrian, Stockholm, Cayan, neoclassical, dynamic, stochastic, if you understand the economy metric models of general balance, new money, new ideas, then you are for you I began to try to refute the logic of Adam Smith. And the logic is as follows: when people are treated freely, and not as cattle, they work more efficiently, and everyone becomes rich. Trump’s policy is directed against Adam Smith, because we are talking about protectionism, tarfiach, and favoritism. And this undermines the idea of free trade, which is the most important in the wealth of nations. Adam Smith uses an example with a pin in the factory (read it with me or look at YouTube about this). Specialization increases labor productivity, well -being, we all get wealth. Smith uses a comparative advantage as a macroeconomic concept, similar to specialization. That is, if there were no free trade between the States in the USA, this would not be too good in terms of effectiveness. The world is much more complicated than it seems, and if you reflect on the logic of Adam Smith and its words, it becomes clear that when trading barriers are installed, even if this has good intentions, it will create many problems, as the destruction of alliances and retail chains that were that were Created over the past century, this reduces effectiveness and leads to a global recession. Trump has very good chances to achieve this because he rejects the ideas of Adam Smith. You can see for yourself how everything turned out for Spain and other countries, when Trump defends his mercantilism, and not capitalism and free trade. Therefore, if Trump wins, he will unintentively provoke a global recession. When an economic decline occurs in the world, which will lead to a decrease in oil prices, when global oil demand continues to decline even more. The price of oil is reduced when the economy falls. The Russian economy is already on the verge, in Russia all resources and reserves remaining from the Soviet Union end in Russia, and we can talk about anything, but such a situation leads to a change in regime and changes in Russia. Personally, I would like to see a grand perestroika full of restructuring of the Russian system towards the free market, free economy, free movement of labor and capital. Changes can lead to a split within the country, although now people living in the Russian Federation are distinguished only by a passive attitude to life. If Harris wins, then the problem is different, that the Congress in the United States is multi -paratrooper, not one -time. There are two chambers in the United States, and this can limit Harris’s ability to support Ukraine, but nevertheless implicit support will be provided, the economy will continue to grow around the world in the United States, and this will again indirectly help Ukraine, because the countries will more willingly transfer money. Therefore, there are two scenarios of the development of events. The victory of Harris, which will be direct support for Ukraine. And based on the fact that the regime in Russia cannot be drunk forever, even if US support decreases due to the congress, Ukraine will win because Russia is in a worst state, Ukraine has access to open markets. If Trapm wins, he will go against Adam Smith's logic and will contact people like cattle, like North Korea or China, or like Russia, a global recession will occur. You can say that Harris pursues a policy that can be interpreted as related to socialism. But my objection is Sweden, Norway, Iceland, Denmark - these are countries where social programs and high social protection systems, and these countries are extremely rich. In these countries, a high level of quality of life and what they have is free trade. Therefore, the theory of Adam Smith was preoccupied with free toggard. You can say something about budget policy or about trade deficiency. But Adam Smith never talked about this, he said that the trade in Binarn, it was either free or not free. It's not about trade deficiency or surplus, these are moralistic ideas, these are the ideas of countries. There are dictators that are focused on export, and who have something like an oligarchy that controls the resources, as well as other people who are economic assets, almost like cattle, they are sold here and there, so we cannot say that social The network is so important as freedom or free trade. Compare economically strong countries with free trade, such as Finland and Denmark, Iceland, Norway, Sweden with such countries that do not support free trade, where people are not free. Therefore, the victory of Harris is good from an economic point of view, despite the fact that I do not quite agree with her. Trapm is also good, because it will significantly reduce oil prices, it will stop the Russian economy, because it is now on the verge of breakestability, it does not have enough resources, and this will become the straw that will break the balance. Trump will not want to do this with his friend with the king of Russia, but this will happen because Trump never read Adam Smith. As a result, many can vote for Harris despite the fact that they do not agree with all its politics, but it is a direct support for Ukraine and for the world. Nevertheless, in the event of Trump’s victory, he will unintentally help Ukraine, although this can take a little more time. In any case, there is no need to guess, throw a coin, and even more so upset, because Ukraine will win anyway, regardless of the elections in the USA, because this country remains an independent country and it does not surrender. Russia cannot afford it. The US presidential election in 2024 will help Ukraine anyway.
Why free markets and free trade are useful for the world
Адам Смит - шотландский экономист и философ-этик, один из основоположников экономической теории как науки. Считается основателем классической политэкономии.
Главный труд "отца" классической политической экономии Адама Смита, завершенный им более 230 лет назад, "Исследование о природе и причинах богатства народов". Теория невидимой руки рынка, государство как ночной сторож - все это "Богатство народов".
Создают ли люди в России богатство? Или они создают вещи, которые не имеют ценности или уменьшают ее ценность? Сокращенная или краткая версия "Богатства народов" - лучшая книга. Экономика страны - это просто миллионы людей, которым нравится создавать или оказывать ценные услуги. Если все больше людей создают разрушения или оказывают бесполезные услуги, как в России, производительные люди не смогут поддерживать экономику.
"The human heart is sly most of all and extremely spoiled: who recognizes it?" (Jeremiah 17: 9).
Russia, regardless of the outcome of the presidential election in the United States, will crumble into parts. Why? The key rate was increased to 21%from 19%, and until the end of the year the Central Bank of Russia plans to raise it to 25%! Not to mention the fact that the inevitable drop in oil prices will complicate the ability of Russia to receive money, especially given the fact that Russia spends much more energy and money on oil production under frozen land than Saudi Arabia, where the climate is much more suitable. Sergei Chemezov also noted that the military industry is bankrupt due to high prices for main materials, such as plastic, metals, etc.
2025 will solve everything in Russia. Not only winter is approaching, but also hyperinflation.
I believe in free markets, but not in totalitarian countries. I do not see that in the event of Trump’s victory there was some kind of joy, except for the joy for billionaires and dictators.
Any dictator has economics and logic is not in the first place ... Preservation of power is first of all. In this case, the economy collapses, and dictators do not remain in power forever when the people are against them, and that is why the king of Russia will lose. The winner is determined by the economy and technology, and not people like North Koreans in boots.
The logic of Adam Smith is very powerful. Free trade and free people always win. Adam Smith was not worried about the trade balance. He was worried about trade. Adam Smith did not care about gold. You cannot eat gold. He was concerned with real freedom and trade, which are not in Russia.
Author's video content.
In collaboration with CMCproduction & SmartREC video studios
https://www.youtube.com/c/ViolettaWennman
https://ok.ru/shipshard1
https://vk.com/shipshardvk
https://www.pinterest.ca/omegagirs/
https://dzen.ru/shipshard
https://t.me/shipshard
Publication in Russian on the blog of Zen
https://dzen.ru/a/zykzpnetzujxhyun
