A journal of my betting journey to Football. I firmly believe that watching all the games is of paramount importance even today but sometimes it is just not enough. Numbers and statistics are here to give us extra insight. I will be commenting on models used too, and not just the numbers. Main focus is Premier League but also some other leagues will appear sporadically.
3 Mar 2023 1 minute read 0 comments Nepenthe
Nice is expected to have an easy game against Auxerre according to their respective xGoals especially given how weak Auxerre is at away games. Napoli keeps bashing everyone and the next victim will be Lazio today in their unstoppable run for the Scud...
4 Feb 2023 1 minute read 0 comments Nepenthe
At last we are back after a super busy and exciting January transfer window. So without further ado lets see today's games. Brentford faces a very troubled Southampton side which despite having done some great transfers, I am not certain if they ca...
4 Jan 2023 1 minute read 0 comments Nepenthe
Picking it up from where we left it last gameweek, whoever watched the Newcastle game knows that we deserved way more than the 2/4, but such is the nature of the game. Onwards to today: Southampton is one of those teams that every year they play an...
31 Dec 2022 1 minute read 0 comments Nepenthe
Hello peeps, just a few more selections today after our previous 2/3 but positive returns day on boxing day: Fulham has Mitrovic one of the most prolific scorers in the league, while Southampton seems to be struggling a lot this season. I do expect S...
26 Dec 2022 1 minute read 0 comments Nepenthe
Premier League is at last back and now we can resume the betting: 3 picks for today based on the numbers and the home/away performances Everton - Wolves : Wolves is abyssmal away, while Everton seems to have recuperated from a bad start so I will ba...
19 Dec 2022 1 minute read 0 comments Nepenthe
At long last the world cup is at an end so we can start again with our normal routine. A short warmup for today from the English Championship as Wigan Athletic hosts Sheffield United in tonight's action. Betting on the away win seems like the no brai...
14 Sep 2022 1 minute read 0 comments Nepenthe
An easy day today, as it is early in the group stage so the favourites will win. Man City to Win @ 1.20 at Bet365 PSG to Win @ 1.18 at Bet365 Real Madrid to Win @ 1.57 at Bet365
4 Sep 2022 1 minute read 0 comments Nepenthe
Arsenal has been dominant in the beginning of the season but Manchester United seems to be on the rise. In this clash numbers side with the invincibles. Brighton has been super stable this season while Leicester seems to be away from their past self...
23 Aug 2022 1 minute read 0 comments Nepenthe
Victoria Plzen is the better side despite one of their started defenders missing. Given how the first game was a boring 0-0 draw I expect a home win. Red Star Belgrade is only trailing one goal and plays at home, but Maccabi Haifa has proven that the...
22 Aug 2022 1 minute read 0 comments Nepenthe
Liverpool has not started very well this season but Manchester United is going through one of the biggest crises that I remember. Liverpool has overwhelming quality in all lines and will be the undeniable pick in this matchup The Special One will alw...
