A journal of my betting journey to Football. I firmly believe that watching all the games is of paramount importance even today but sometimes it is just not enough. Numbers and statistics are here to give us extra insight. I will be commenting on models used too, and not just the numbers. Main focus is Premier League but also some other leagues will appear sporadically.
21 Aug 2022 1 minute read 0 comments Nepenthe
Verona lost super valuable players, most notably their striker Simeone, so against Bologna which is traditionally strong in their home turf they are expected to fold. Panathinaikos despite being knocked out from the European competitions early play...
20 Aug 2022 1 minute read 0 comments Nepenthe
Crystal Palace has kept the players the coach and the playstyle from last year and picked up exactly from where they left it. They fight every match and always come with a plan. They are the better side against Villa which at this point in the season...
19 Aug 2022 1 minute read 0 comments Nepenthe
Eupen should have it easy against RFC Seraing which resides in the last place of the board. Hamburg should continue the good home run against Darmstadt as they have not forgotten last year's 0-5 and seek revenge early in the season to keep them as cl...
18 Aug 2022 1 minute read 0 comments Nepenthe
Both Ludogorets and Zalgiris have solid defensive issues so betting on Both teams to score sounds like the clever thing to do. In Argentina, Aldosivi seems to have already accepted their fate and is expected to lose against Velez Sarsfield. Ludogor...
1 Feb 2022 1 minute read 0 comments Nepenthe
Last week Paris FC managed to concede late in the game and forced us into a losing day but lets try to rebound from that loss with some good old England! without further ado here are the predictions for tonight Northampton Town - Barrow @ 1.95 10 un...
28 Jan 2022 1 minute read 0 comments Nepenthe
Lets kickstart this blog with my personal favourite football leagues of all times: French Ligue 2! The picks below are based on the statistics of goals scored (using the poisson distribution). After the distribution is calculated, the "fair odds" tha...
