Prediction Frontier breaks down prediction markets; from first principles to frontier developments. Through research, explainers, and analysis, we help readers understand how information, probability, and capital converge to shape modern markets.
18 Jul 2026 3 minute read 0 comments Edwin Munyui
Prediction markets have spent much of the World Cup breaking trading-volume records. This week offered the first indication of what happens when the tournament begins to wind down. Polymarket’s World Cup Winner market generated $165.6 million in seve...
10 Jul 2026 4 minute read 0 comments Edwin Munyui
Prediction markets have spent much of the World Cup proving that they can attract retail trading volume. This week offered a more consequential development: can the same markets become a tool for hedging financial risk at the institutional level? Su...
3 Jul 2026 6 minute read 0 comments Edwin Munyui
Prediction markets closed out June with the biggest month in the sector's history. Combined trading volume across Kalshi, Polymarket, and Polymarket US reached $44.8 billion, up 75% from May's $25.66 billion, according to The Block, with the FIFA Wor...
26 Jun 2026 4 minute read 0 comments Edwin Munyui
Prediction Markets have continued to break records in trading volume since the debut of the FIFA World Cup 2026. According to DeFi Rate, the past week recorded a total notional volume of $13.1 billion; Kalshi accounted for $9B (69%) while Polymarket...
28 Apr 2026 15 minute read 0 comments Edwin Munyui
Prediction markets have moved from the regulatory fringe to the center of a multi-front legal crisis. In the United States, the fundamental jurisdictional question, whether event contracts are federally regulated derivatives or state-regulated gambli...
16 Apr 2026 2 minute read 0 comments Edwin Munyui
Prediction markets reported their strongest week, with Kalshi hitting a notional volume of $3.54 billion while Polymarket recorded $2.48 billion; the industry’s combined notional volume crossed $6.5 billion, setting a new overall high, according to D...
9 Apr 2026 9 minute read 0 comments Edwin Munyui
A Q1 2026 Sector Report Key Highlights $1.72B raised in Q1 2026, making prediction markets the second most funded crypto sector this quarter – with Kalshi targeting a $22B valuation and Polymarket eyeing $20B $164.76B in total notional volume and 3....
