Prediction Frontier breaks down prediction markets; from first principles to frontier developments. Through research, explainers, and analysis, we help readers understand how information, probability, and capital converge to shape modern markets.
28 Apr 2026 15 minute read 0 comments Edwin Munyui $0.03
Prediction markets have moved from the regulatory fringe to the center of a multi-front legal crisis. In the United States, the fundamental jurisdictional question, whether event contracts are federally regulated derivatives or state-regulated gambli...
16 Apr 2026 2 minute read 0 comments Edwin Munyui $0.01
Prediction markets reported their strongest week, with Kalshi hitting a notional volume of $3.54 billion while Polymarket recorded $2.48 billion; the industry’s combined notional volume crossed $6.5 billion, setting a new overall high, according to D...
9 Apr 2026 9 minute read 0 comments Edwin Munyui $0.00
A Q1 2026 Sector Report Key Highlights $1.72B raised in Q1 2026, making prediction markets the second most funded crypto sector this quarter – with Kalshi targeting a $22B valuation and Polymarket eyeing $20B $164.76B in total notional volume and 3....
