From skeptic to hodlr to investor
From skeptic to hodlr to investor

From skeptic to hodlr to investor

A 20 year institutional investor learning about the crypto space.


De-dollarization seems to be accelerating: A long term case for Bitcoin?

4 Aug 2021 1 minute read 2 comments NZFX

The last few weeks have seen a couple of interesting developments on the USD front. 1.  Japan's Government Public Investment Fund (GPIF), one of the largest pension funds in the world with with over $1.6 trillion in assets, announced  it had cut its...

Crypto regulation: Coming on fast....

2 Aug 2021 1 minute read 2 comments NZFX

A number of weeks ago I made a prediction about how regulators would likely start gearing up to push back on crypto. Since that post, a lot has happened. Governments around the world are now moving aggressively on the regulatory front and the rules t...

Why are we chasing the crypto gold rush?

30 Jul 2021 1 minute read 4 comments NZFX

This will be a short, reflective post.  Anyone else need a break from the  highly technical mental gymnastics that comes with being a crypto investor?  I've been thinking a bit today about the similarities we are seeing between this modern 'crypto-go...

25 years of investing distilled down to 3 minutes

29 Jul 2021 2 minute read 10 comments NZFX

I've been in the investment industry for nearly 25 years now and have learned a lot.  Most of the lessons I have learned have come the hard way, as is the case with much of life.  Beginning in 2008, sitting in the middle of a disaster at a large inve...

Digging deeper on institutional adoption of Bitcoin: An insider's perspective

28 Jul 2021 4 minute read 0 comments NZFX

My interest in this topic comes from having worked in the institutional investment management space for many years.   Unfortunately, so much of what I read about 'institutional adoption' just hasn't passed the sniff test.  In this article, I'll share...

The #1 threat to your crypto success

27 Jul 2021 4 minute read 4 comments NZFX

No... this title was not designed to be click-bait.  I 100% believe it.   With 25+ years of investing under my belt, I'd like to share what I believe the biggest threat is to sustained investment success:  cognitive bias.  Aka: systemic errors in thi...

Making money in BTC using a USD regime framework

26 Jul 2021 2 minute read 1 comment NZFX

For the past few weeks, I've been tossing around the idea of creating a Dollar Threat Index.  Why?  My thinking was that when the threat to the dollar (and thus the existing power structure that supports it) is high, we are likely to see that status...

New Update: BTC vs. ETH Which is cheaper?

23 Jul 2021 1 minute read 0 comments NZFX

I'd like to use this sell-off as an opportunity to add to both BTC and ETH.  Which one represents the greatest value at its current level though? In my initial post on this forum, I introduced a valuation tool I call StratVal, used by a number of ins...

Part 4: A crypto risk budgeting strategy

21 Jul 2021 2 minute read 0 comments NZFX

Dear readers This is the last installment of the 4 part do-it-yourself portfolio series I started a few weeks ago.   As a recap, in the first article , we set the stage for building your own trading model in excel by showing you how to download and a...

Can crypto climb this wall of worry?

20 Jul 2021 2 minute read 0 comments NZFX

There's a saying in traditional markets that equities often 'climb wall of worry'.   That means there's always some compelling reason out there for assets not to appreciate but they tend to despite the negative factors.   Are the crypto markets able...