This blog is devoted to the latest developments in the crypto space which appear to promise to unlock unrecognized value for crypto investors and traders.
3 Dec 2024 1 minute read 0 comments Sebastian Purcell, PhD
Retail investors are largely still on the sidelines. So, is now a good time to deploy some capital? Here's what a key data point suggests. The $BTC 25 Delta Skew is a contrarian indicator. Whenever it drops below -10%, there is a high probability of...
27 Nov 2024 1 minute read 0 comments Sebastian Purcell, PhD
Are we entering a new crab-walk era? The Trump presidency is in. More interest rate cuts are probably coming, but not in the size many initially expected. The FOMC's next meeting will end on December 18th. That's when we'll hear news about whether QT...
22 Nov 2024 3 minute read 0 comments Sebastian Purcell, PhD
It seems inevitable that BTC will reach $100,000 per coin soon. Polymarket pegs the probability at 60% before this year ends (up from below 25% before Trump’s victory). The massive gains to be had in the digital asset space are thus likely to be els...
21 Nov 2024 1 minute read 1 comment Sebastian Purcell, PhD
$BTC just logged another intra-day high at over $98,000. Is the market overheated yet? We have two bits of evidence that suggest "not yet" -- Qualitative and Quantitative Qualitative Evidence In a real market top, people stop asking about overvaluati...
15 Nov 2024 3 minute read 6 comments Sebastian Purcell, PhD
Bitcoin is at an all-time high and Ethereum is making a comeback. Trump isn’t even in office yet (and won’t be for months). Is it all the Trump narrative’s doing? Yes and no. That’s because the Trump Narrative isn’t one story; it’s three. Trump’s ele...
8 Nov 2024 2 minute read 2 comments Sebastian Purcell, PhD
It turns out that there’s a “cheat code” for trading cryptocurrencies (or stocks / ETFs associated with cryptos): on-chain analytics. I’ll be rolling out more lessons for subscribers but in this newsletter I wanted to show you how to develop a...
2 Nov 2024 2 minute read 0 comments Sebastian Purcell, PhD
On-chain analytics provides alpha with simple strategies. I'm going to discuss 2 strategies here -- a long strategy that would have returned 157% thus far and a short strategy that would have done better than 50% on the decline during 2022. This mean...
26 Oct 2024 4 minute read 0 comments Sebastian Purcell, PhD
While meme coins continue to dominate most crypto discussions–to such an extent that I think utility coins are now “contrarian” plays in the crypto space–I wanted to discuss a different sector that will be affected by the November 5th Presidential el...
18 Oct 2024 5 minute read 1 comment Sebastian Purcell, PhD
I’m going to expand on what I posted on Twitter a few days back (link). The idea was to address Murad (@MustStopMurad)’s cult coin strategy for selecting memes. He’s made $24 million with memes and his strategy has been everywhere on crypto Twitter...
11 Oct 2024 3 minute read 0 comments Sebastian Purcell, PhD
I was sick for most of the past week, but I’m up and about now. The team, however, has been busy working on taking the AI algo that we have for trading BTC and adapting that for stock trading with MSTR and similar crypto stocks. As the market a...
