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2 Oct 2026 1 minute read 0 comments Edwin Munyui $0.10
Prediction markets closed September with $78.2 billion in notional volume, marking the largest month ever compared to July’s record which sat at $56.4 billion. We’re putting together our Q3 report, and this week’s letter draws on three fundamental c...
25 Sep 2026 2 minute read 0 comments Edwin Munyui $0.05
This week’s Prediction Frontier letter turns to sports. They accounted for $299.3 million, more than half of Polymarket’s on-chain trading, from September 14–20. Esports added another $77.4 million. That much trading needs someone willing to take the...
21 Sep 2026 2 minute read 0 comments Edwin Munyui $0.07
The past week has been quite interesting for the prediction market sector, with discussion around Novig’s “Just Sports” campaign featuring Sydney Sweeney taking centre stage. Did it hit the sweet spot? On visibility, the answer appears to be yes. On...
11 Sep 2026 3 minute read 0 comments Edwin Munyui $0.04
Prediction markets are building distribution faster than they are building standards for how their odds should be presented. A 70 per cent probability can look self-explanatory, but the number alone does not tell the audience the exact contract wordi...
10 Sep 2026 1 minute read 0 comments Technology Era $0.03
Hyperliquid has been encroaching on traditional and prediction markets with its HIP-3 (Tokenized Equities) and HIP-4 (Outcome Markets) proposals. In a direct retaliatory move, Polymarket has launched its own perpetual DEX featuring up to 20x leverage...
28 Aug 2026 2 minute read 1 comment Edwin Munyui $0.11
It’s been four weeks since the last Prediction Frontier Weekly. We spent most of that time in the trenches, refining what we’re building and digging into the question that followed the World Cup: what comes next? Sports are still driving much of the...
22 Aug 2026 1 minute read 0 comments KMatt $0.27
DeFi prediction markets like Polymarket have transcended the stage of simple betting platforms to become one of the most genuinely useful use cases in the entire crypto ecosystem: information finance. Unlike opinion polls or expert commentary in the...
19 Aug 2026 2 minute read 0 comments RodrigoCalabar $0.06
The Korea Media and Communications Standards Commission (KCSC) has ordered an immediate block on access to Polymarket across South Korea. The decision places one of the world's most active crypto trading markets in line with jurisdictions that categ...
3 Aug 2026 5 minute read 0 comments Edwin Munyui $0.05
Prediction markets defended the correct FOMC outcome, generated more quarterly revenue for Robinhood than equities or crypto, and moved deeper into corporate hedging. The signal is working. The next test is whether the category can create durable fin...
31 Jul 2026 4 minute read 2 comments CondividiSulWeb $0.16
For years, Polymarket has been one of the world's most talked-about prediction market platforms, allowing users to trade on the probability of future events ranging from elections and sports to cryptocurrency prices and global politics.Now, the platf...
