Polymarket

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Can Prediction Markets Actually Absorb a $1 Million Hedge? We Tested It

28 Aug 2026 2 minute read 1 comment Edwin Munyui

It’s been four weeks since the last Prediction Frontier Weekly. We spent most of that time in the trenches, refining what we’re building and digging into the question that followed the World Cup: what comes next? Sports are still driving much of the...

Why On-Chain Money Predicts the Future Better Than Surveys

22 Aug 2026 1 minute read 0 comments KMatt

DeFi prediction markets like Polymarket have transcended the stage of simple betting platforms to become one of the most genuinely useful use cases in the entire crypto ecosystem: information finance. Unlike opinion polls or expert commentary in the...

South Korea Blocks Polymarket: Understanding the Crackdown on Crypto Prediction Markets

19 Aug 2026 2 minute read 0 comments RodrigoCalabar

The Korea Media and Communications Standards Commission (KCSC) has ordered an immediate block on access to Polymarket across South Korea. The decision places one of the world's most active crypto trading markets in line with jurisdictions that categ...

Robinhood’s $156M Event-Contract Quarter Puts Prediction Markets to the Business-Model Test

3 Aug 2026 5 minute read 0 comments Edwin Munyui

Prediction markets defended the correct FOMC outcome, generated more quarterly revenue for Robinhood than equities or crypto, and moved deeper into corporate hedging. The signal is working. The next test is whether the category can create durable fin...

Polymarket Blocked in Italy: What It Means for Users and Prediction Markets

31 Jul 2026 4 minute read 2 comments CondividiSulWeb

For years, Polymarket has been one of the world's most talked-about prediction market platforms, allowing users to trade on the probability of future events ranging from elections and sports to cryptocurrency prices and global politics.Now, the platf...

World Cup Volume Is Fading. Can Prediction Markets Keep the Capital?

18 Jul 2026 3 minute read 0 comments Edwin Munyui

Prediction markets have spent much of the World Cup breaking trading-volume records. This week offered the first indication of what happens when the tournament begins to wind down. Polymarket’s World Cup Winner market generated $165.6 million in seve...

Can Prediction Markets Become Corporate Hedging Tools? The $500 Million World Cup Test

10 Jul 2026 4 minute read 0 comments Edwin Munyui

Prediction markets have spent much of the World Cup proving that they can attract retail trading volume. This week offered a more consequential development: can the same markets become a tool for hedging financial risk at the institutional level?  Su...

The Prediction Market Was Supposed to Never Lie. The People Winning Already Knew How It Would End.

7 Jul 2026 6 minute read 0 comments Crypto Strategist

A U.S. Army soldier helped plan a raid to capture a wanted foreign leader. Weeks before it happened, he opened a Polymarket account and bet thirty-three thousand dollars that the raid would succeed. When it did, he walked away with roughly four hundr...

Polymarket Prediction: Why Traders Are 70% Sure XRP Will Cross $1.20 This Month!

4 Jul 2026 2 minute read 0 comments Technology Era

The crypto market has been a rollercoaster of late, but lately, one asset is standing out against the noise. If you’ve been keeping an eye on decentralized prediction markets like Polymarket, you might have noticed a massive shift in sentiment regard...

Prediction Markets’ $45 Billion Month Brings the Institutional Opportunity Into Focus

3 Jul 2026 6 minute read 0 comments Edwin Munyui

Prediction markets closed out June with the biggest month in the sector's history. Combined trading volume across Kalshi, Polymarket, and Polymarket US reached $44.8 billion, up 75% from May's $25.66 billion, according to The Block, with the FIFA Wor...