January 28 French Ligue 2

By Nepenthe | Football Betting picks by the numbers | 28 Jan 2022

Lets kickstart this blog with my personal favourite football leagues of all times: French Ligue 2!

The picks below are based on the statistics of goals scored (using the poisson distribution). After the distribution is calculated, the "fair odds" that the model gives are compared to the ones of the bookmakers.

So without further ado we have the following games for today:

AC Ajaccio - Auxerre @ 2.25 10 units

Dunkerque - Paris FC @ 1.85 10 units

Nimes - Valenciennes @ 2.1 10 units

For completion sake from a bankroll of 1000 units I will be using and keeping track stats per league.

Starting Balance: 1000 units

Open bets : 30 units

Current Balance: 9970 units

Blog Sports Betting

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Nepenthe

Football Betting picks by the numbers

A journal of my betting journey to Football. I firmly believe that watching all the games is of paramount importance even today but sometimes it is just not enough. Numbers and statistics are here to give us extra insight. I will be commenting on models used too, and not just the numbers. Main focus is Premier League but also some other leagues will appear sporadically.