Perspective, opinion, and commentary on bitcoin, altcoins, and cryptocurrency for people who want to focus on the big picture. Don't sweat the day-to-day. It's cryptocurrency - relax and enjoy the ride!
25 Jul 2021 4 minute read 1 comment MarkHelfman
Lots of people say bitcoin’s dead. In some ways, they have a point. Its price chart looks like shit, everybody expects the bottom to fall out, and its on-chain data has only just started to shift in our favor (but not much). At the same time, the onl...
10 Jul 2021 4 minute read 10 comments MarkHelfman
Some people keep talking about a bitcoin bear market. I don’t. Not just because the definitions of “bear market” change from person to person and depend on arbitrary charting patterns and semantic contortions, but also because we have not seen a mark...
5 Jul 2021 3 minute read 1 comment MarkHelfman
From January to April, nobody could deny the opportunity to make fast money with crypto. Not only did the opportunity exist, we saw it play out. Some shitcoins went up 70x or more. Some of my dead altcoins—relics from bad decisions I made over time—p...
1 Jul 2021 2 minute read 4 comments MarkHelfman
Do you believe bitcoin’s price will drop to $20,000 soon? Or do you think it will complete a “Wyckoff accumulation” and burst into a supercycle by the end of the summer? Perhaps crypto will spend the next year in a bear market? If so, what will happe...
12 Jun 2021 2 minute read 32 comments MarkHelfman
Death cross. Sounds pretty bad, doesn’t it? Bitcoin’s about to do it — within the next week or so. Death and bitcoin What’s a death cross? It’s a trading signal that appears when the 50 daily moving average drops below the 200 daily moving average on...
4 Jun 2021 1 minute read 1 comment MarkHelfman
Do you remember April 14, 2021? On that day, bitcoin’s price hit its all-time high: $65,000. Today, it’s a lot lower. Many say the market peaked on April 14 and we’re now in a bear market. They know better Obviously, the experts on YouTube and Twitte...
2 Jun 2021 4 minute read 11 comments MarkHelfman
Quite a turn of events. Last month, YouTube told me about all these altcoins ready to boom in May and Twitter said the supercycle was about to begin. Now YouTube says the market peaked in April and Twitter says we’re in a bear market. Seems a little...
23 May 2021 1 minute read 3 comments MarkHelfman
Stock-to-Flow model (S2F) says bitcoin’s price should be approximately $80,000 today. Its “better” version, S2Fx, says bitcoin’s price should be even higher. Yet, bitcoin’s price is roughly $34,000 as of this post. Is the model broken? Variation is...
12 May 2021 3 minute read 16 comments MarkHelfman
Given bitcoin’s high volatility, how do you know whether an upswing marks the peak of the market or just a “local top” before another leg up? Thanks to the transparency of bitcoin’s blockchain, you can see changes in spending behaviors, money enterin...
10 May 2021 1 minute read 17 comments MarkHelfman
I’ll get in trouble for this post (par for the course). Please reflect before you comment! Let me tell you about a certain currency. It has an infinite supply, its creators constantly print more of it, it can’t be redeemed for anything, and it’s not...
