Perspective, opinion, and commentary on bitcoin, altcoins, and cryptocurrency for people who want to focus on the big picture. Don't sweat the day-to-day. It's cryptocurrency - relax and enjoy the ride!
27 Apr 2022 1 minute read 6 comments MarkHelfman
Some say the Stock-to-Flow model is dead. Not me. Even if S2F or S2Fx fail, we have lots of other models. Four-year cycles. Hash cycles. Supercycles. Expanding cycles. Shrinking cycles. All sorts of multiples, moving averages, and extrapolations. ...
31 Mar 2022 2 minute read 3 comments MarkHelfman
Some think 2021 killed data models of bitcoin’s price because pretty much every prediction failed. Stock-to-Flow promised $135,000 in December 2021 as a “worst-case scenario.” Oops. Bob Loukas’s Four-Year Cycle missed both the time and price of the...
18 Mar 2022 3 minute read 16 comments MarkHelfman
I get it. It’s crypto. You want somebody to tell you what’s going to happen next. Just tell me whether the price will go up or down, Mark! I can’t tell you that. I can tell you what I’ll do when the price goes up or down. I can give you perspective...
15 Mar 2022 3 minute read 10 comments MarkHelfman
When you entered the crypto market, you found a lot of excitement. Data models predicted riches. YouTube and Twitter told you the market would explode to the upside. It doesn’t feel that way today, but it should. Since last summer, you’ve stood on th...
11 Mar 2022 3 minute read 4 comments MarkHelfman
Sometimes I take calls from people who want to consult or get my advice on cryptocurrency and the crypto markets. Do you know what question I dread the most? Mark, what do you think will happen? I’m happy to answer and appreciate the confidence yo...
11 Mar 2022 2 minute read 8 comments MarkHelfman
Bitcoin’s price went 6% higher in November 2021 than it did in April 2021. Its lowest price in January 2022 was 15% higher than its lowest price in June 2021. By crypto logic, that means our next all-time high will come at $73,000 in June 2022, 6% hi...
3 Mar 2022 2 minute read 0 comments MarkHelfman
What happened to bitcoin? We didn’t get supercycle in 2021. Bitcoin’s price didn’t even reach $100,000! And many altcoins only gave you gains of 500% or less. Some are even lower now than last year. What happened to laser eyes? Where is my 100x altco...
14 Feb 2022 10 minute read 2 comments MarkHelfman
I had a chance to catch up with Eloisa Marchesoni, a highly-regarded token expert and consultant. As I transition away from writing about specific altcoins, I thought you might like to hear a little about her journey and perspective on altcoins. If y...
7 Feb 2022 3 minute read 3 comments MarkHelfman
Since the beginning of November 2021, whales and institutions have sold bitcoin and other cryptos. We know this because we can see their actions in the movements of bitcoins on the blockchain. At the same time, we had at least three liquidation event...
4 Feb 2022 5 minute read 2 comments MarkHelfman
While everybody argues about whether NFTs are really just JPEGs, creators are using them for all sorts of reasons that have nothing to do with graphic art. One writer, Elle Griffin, used NFTs to fund the first chapters of one of her novels. I had a c...
