Profit and loss homology, talk about path dependence

Profit and loss homology, talk about path dependence


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Speaking of the words "profit and loss, homology", it is an investment concept that I first entered into investment.

At that time, I felt that there was some mystery. If the profit was profitable, the loss would be a loss. How could it be "homologous"? Later, I made a transaction for a period of time, and slowly realized the profound meaning of this sentence, quite a feeling of "does the road very bad."

Recently, Weibo has also seen some cases of investment in digital currency losses. There are many reasons for losses. Of course, the main reason is “short rallies”.

This strategy is a very good strategy in the last wave of "bull-to-bear" market, and also helped many people earn a lot of BTC in the bear market. However, in the latest wave of market, BTC has soared and can't stop completely. Many people are constantly opening up and then constantly exploding...

If the wind control is in place, this wave can survive, and the wind control is not in place. It is basically the ending of "explosion".

If the money management is not done well, the BTC, which has been earned hard by the bear market, will be returned to the market in this wave.

Perhaps this is the most tangible case of "profit and loss homology" in the latest wave of market.

Of course, this corresponds to the path dependency.

Some methods of operation have always made you profitable, so that you can taste the sweetness, you will continue to use it. If you make money, you always want to make more money. When you step on the big pit, you will encounter a sharper scythe.

Just like the IEO that has been speculating some time ago, there are model coins and resonance coins.

New patterns are emerging one after another. If any method of making money makes you taste the sweetness, you will definitely try this method constantly, so the last big loss is also this group of people.

In this sense:

The best way to get into the currency circle is to make you lose money, not to make you rich.

Why do you say that if you come in, you will encounter a hundred times of coins, thousands of coins, or you will encounter a certain "resonance coin" when you enter the market, so that you can earn dozens of times quickly, in your later investment career, You will continue to look for such investment targets, and the fact is that you may encounter more and more pits in the later period, eroding your previous profits.

If you come across a huge pit, you will never touch these investment targets again, or you will be awesome about the market. And this kind of awe is the best umbrella for you to survive in this market.

Many people are ruining their lives from "self-expansion".

In fact, the homonym of profit and loss is ostensibly said to be the profit method used, and will inevitably become the source of your future losses.

The deeper level is that the market is uncertain. It is precisely because of uncertainty that there will be a precondition for the theory of profit and loss.

Just because the market is uncertain, every transaction can be profitable or lossy. If two people place orders at the same time, the results will not be the same because the exit time is different.

Therefore, the transaction does not rely on certainty to achieve stable profitability, but relies on handling good profit and loss relationships to achieve stable profitability.

Less profit, more profit, less profit, is the underlying logic of profit.

A 100-meter road, each forward 10 meters back 5 meters, although the twists and turns can always finish, and each forward 5 meters back 10 meters, or even more back, it will never be finished.

In fact, many investment methods actually fall into the realm of "foreign" in the eyes of outsiders, because it is equal to saying nothing.

Just like "yin and yang", the yin is not born, the yang is not long, the yin has yang, the yang has yin, only yin and yang and yue can generate everything.

These principles always have to be "enlightened" in practice, and books cannot be learned. Therefore, to maintain dialectical thinking, everything always learns to think in reverse.

You can see opportunities in a crisis and be aware of crises in opportunities.

You can't get rid of path dependencies by adjusting your direction in the path of investment, but you can choose a new path.

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A girl who likes to share ideas
A girl who likes to share ideas

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