Vlad's Sociopolitical Update 231226

Vlad's Sociopolitical Update 231226

By Vladan Lausevic | Vlad's politics | 26 Dec 2023


 

Good day, fellow Publishers :) 

Here is the recent version of "Vlad's sociopolitical update" regarding developments worldwide. This time I am focusing om migration, refugees, governments and human rights. I am interested in different topics, and if you have a favorite topic, please write to me about it, and I will try to publish it later. Here are some of my recent reads. 


Migration Policy Institute:  

After seven years of negotiations, EU Member States and the European Parliament reached a historic agreement on the New Pact on Migration and Asylum on December 20. The complex accord addresses crucial questions of responsibility sharing and protection standards amid a changing political landscape marked by increased anti-migration sentiments.

While hailed as a significant political accomplishment, the pact's success or failure in establishing resilient and rights-respecting migration and asylum systems remains to be determined. Key questions persist about the potential watering down of asylum seekers' rights, the activation of more border procedures, and the balance between protection standards and swift processing at borders.

The pact is significant amidst a backdrop of growing externalization efforts, exemplified by deals with countries like Turkey, Libya, Tunisia, Rwanda, and Albania to curb onward movement. The EU presidencies overseeing pact implementation—Hungary, Poland, and Denmark—underscore externalization challenges persisting within the bloc.

The pact sets the stage for coexisting tracks of externalization and maintaining the right to asylum. It upholds the right to asylum and establishes a legal obligation for responsibility sharing and solidarity among Member States, addressing a longstanding gap in EU asylum policies.

The pact's success hinges on effectively translating legal language into practical systems. Key challenges include rebuilding trust among Member States, ensuring financial and capacity contributions, and swift action against deviations from agreed obligations.

Beyond legal and procedural aspects, effective communication about the pact's envisioned impact is crucial. Amid anti-immigration sentiments, any delays or failures may be exploited to advocate further closing European borders, underscoring the need for transparent communication and realistic expectations.

While the pact's approval marks a political win, the journey involves rebuilding efficient and credible migration and asylum systems. The pact's impact will be closely monitored as it unfolds against the 2024 EU Parliament elections backdrop, where anti-immigration parties are expected to gain ground.

The New Pact on Migration and Asylum is a pivotal development. Yet, its impact will unfold as it navigates implementation challenges and public perception in the coming years.


Amnesty International: 

Amnesty International strongly condemns the reforms agreed upon by the EU concerning the Pact on Migration and Asylum. The human rights organization asserts that these changes will set back European asylum law for decades and result in increased human suffering.

The political agreement reached today by the European Commission, Council of the EU, and European Parliament is criticized for diminishing the rights of individuals seeking asylum. Eve Geddie, Director of Amnesty International’s European Institutions Office, emphasizes that the pact will likely lead to more people being held in de facto detention at EU borders, with reduced safeguards for asylum seekers.

The Migration Pact is accused of making it harder for individuals to access safety at various stages of their asylum-seeking journey, from the treatment by countries outside the EU to access to asylum and legal support at Europe's borders and reception within the EU.

Amnesty International expresses concerns about the potential increase in de facto detention at EU borders, particularly affecting families with children and vulnerable individuals. The pact is criticized for channeling more people through substandard border asylum procedures instead of ensuring a fair and complete assessment of asylum claims.

The agreement allows countries to opt out of EU asylum rules during increased arrivals or the so-called 'instrumentalization' of migrants. Amnesty International warns that these exemptions may breach international obligations under refugee and human rights law, risking severe human rights violations and setting a dangerous precedent.

The pact is criticized for reinforcing the EU's dependence on states beyond its borders to manage migration rather than investing in dignified reception within the EU and creating safe and regular pathways for people seeking protection.

Amnesty International calls for EU institutions and member states to prioritize human rights in asylum reforms, addressing systemic issues such as underinvestment in asylum and reception systems, pushbacks, and policies denying asylum rights. The organization emphasizes the need for a human rights-compliant, sustainable, and well-resourced response to individuals arriving at Europe's borders.

While a political agreement has been reached, technical-level talks will continue until February 2024, with formal adoption expected before the European Parliament elections in June 2024. Amnesty International urges renewed commitment to enforcing EU law and ensuring accountability for violations.


 

European Council On Foreign Relations: 

The longstanding crisis of Mediterranean migration, mainly through the central route from Libya and Tunisia to Italy and Malta, remains a critical issue for Europe. Though the most active, this route is also perilous for migrants seeking entry into Europe.

European migration policies have framed migration as a security threat, focusing on externalizing borders to southern Mediterranean states, especially following the 2015 migration crisis. This approach not only shapes EU and member states' relations with their southern neighbors but also hampers regional strategic interests, potentially tarnishing the EU's reputation as a values-based power.

Despite efforts in border externalization, there has been a resurgence in irregular migration on the central Mediterranean route since 2020. Paradoxically, European externalization policies contributed to the emergence of this new crisis.

The narrative calls for a shift in approach, urging Europeans to reconsider relinquishing border control to entities in Libya and Tunisia. Instead, emphasis should be placed on measures that connect short-term imperatives of border control with long-term initiatives addressing the root causes of migration. This shift seeks to reduce individuals' need to undertake dangerous journeys in the first place.

Balancing immediate border control needs and sustainable, humane solutions is the challenge. By refocusing efforts on addressing the fundamental drivers of migration, Europe can work towards a more comprehensive and effective strategy that aligns with its security concerns and commitment to humanitarian values.


UPI: 

A historic overhaul of the EU's asylum and migration system promises to address long-standing disputes over responsibility for asylum applications and crisis management, including the "weaponization" of migrants. The deal, covering core political elements in five key regulations, aims to balance concerns of southern states handling the majority of migration from Africa and the Middle East and northern states advocating for better control over migrant flows.

The preliminary agreement outlines key features, with southern states adopting stricter asylum rules and enhanced powers to remove failed asylum seekers. Northern states can choose between accepting a migrant quota or contributing to a joint fund. The reform promotes a fair distribution of responsibilities among EU member states.

Fernando Grande-Marlaska Gomez, Spain's Interior Minister, lauded the reform as a significant step, emphasizing the EU's commitment to improving the asylum and migration system. However, Amnesty International criticized the pact, expressing concern that it would lead to more people being held in de facto detention at EU borders. The organization argued that the agreement would set back European asylum law and make it harder for individuals to access safety.

Simultaneously, France passed a tough new immigration bill amid political tension. The legislation, supported by President Emmanuel Macron's party and Marine Le Pen's far-right National Rally party, makes it more challenging for migrants to reunite with their families in France and restricts access to welfare. The vote caused a split within Macron's centrist party, leading to the resignation of Health Minister Aurélien Rousseau.

While the EU's migration overhaul aims to address longstanding challenges and create a more balanced system, the divergent reactions from political leaders and advocacy groups underscore the complexity and sensitivity of immigration policies. The French immigration bill adds another layer to the evolving landscape of migration regulations in Europe. As these reforms unfold, their impact on asylum-seeking individuals and the broader political landscape will be closely monitored.




The Guardian: 

The UK Supreme Court's impending verdict on the Rwanda deportation scheme will undoubtedly impact individuals facing deportation and fuel political debates on immigration. However, regardless of the decision, the scheme's scale appears insufficient to address the larger "immigration crisis."

The newsletter highlights the prevalence of performative policymaking in immigration management, not exclusive to Britain. The recent example from Italy, where Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni announced the use of detention centers in Albania for undocumented migrants and asylum seekers, aligns with a global trend.

Italy's scheme involves offshore processing, akin to the UK's plan for deportations to Rwanda, but with detained individuals hearing their cases in Albania. This move is deemed a performance designed to portray toughness on immigration.

The piece underscores the contradiction in countries projecting an uncompromising stance on immigration while actively seeking foreign workers. Examples include Italy's high demand for non-EU workers and Hungary's acceptance of "guest workers" despite anti-immigration rhetoric.

The article references sociologist Hein de Haas's trilemma, which suggests liberal democracies face challenges reconciling economic needs for migrant labor, political desires for immigration control, and moral obligations to treat migrants with rights and dignity.

De Haas's analysis dispels common myths, such as the notion that immigration is out of control and contributes to lower wages, higher unemployment, increased crime, or a lack of affordable housing. The obsession with immigration often distracts from broader social policy questions.

The phenomenon of using immigration as a distraction is not limited to Europe or the West; it is a global issue. Politicians in various countries, from Tunisia to South Africa, exploit xenophobia to deflect blame for domestic challenges.

The unfolding catastrophe in Pakistan, where leaders plan to deport up to 1.7 million undocumented Afghan refugees, reveals the disproportionate burden on the poorest countries in Africa and Asia to host the majority of the world's refugees.

Kenan Malik calls for a reevaluation of policies like the Rwanda deportation scheme or the Italy-Albania deal, viewing them not as serious attempts to address the immigration issue but as performative actions that use cruelty to migrants to divert attention from domestic social problems. The need to challenge such policies is emphasized.


 

UK IN A Changing Europe: 

The Party for Freedom (PVV) has recently become a prominent player in Dutch politics, reflecting the broader surge of far-right parties across Europe. This newsletter delves into the key factors contributing to the PVV's success and the dynamics shaping its voter base.

The PVV is part of a cohort of far-right parties characterized by nativism, authoritarianism, and populism. Similar parties in Sweden, Italy, Finland, and Switzerland have seen electoral gains, with some entering government or supporting coalitions.

The PVV's manifesto emphasizes anti-immigrant sentiments, advocating strict border controls and proposing bans on Islamic institutions. Despite explicit far-right positions, the party's supporters are diverse, challenging stereotypes.

PRR parties attract voters by focusing on core themes such as opposition to immigration and multiculturalism. In the Dutch context, "existential security" linked socio-economic concerns to immigration, resonating with voters seeking economic protection and cultural conservatism.

Mainstream parties play a crucial role in the rise of far-right parties. When mainstream parties adopt far-right themes, it can boost support for PRR parties. In the recent Dutch elections, the center-right VVD's openness to governing with the PVV signaled credibility, attracting voters.

Media portrayal significantly influences political dynamics. The media's focus on far-right leaders, such as showcasing Geert Wilders in non-political contexts, normalizes these figures, potentially swaying public opinion.

The rise of the far right is not solely driven by citizen concerns; media and mainstream parties shape political narratives. While mainstream parties seek to address far-right appeal, adopting far-right positions may not be sustainable. Understanding voters' nuanced demands and concerns is crucial for both media and mainstream parties.

In conclusion, the success of the PVV and similar far-right parties is a complex interplay of voter demand, supply-side dynamics, and media influence. Acknowledging these factors is essential for a comprehensive understanding of the evolving political landscape in the Netherlands and beyond.


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Vladan Lausevic
Vladan Lausevic

Based in Stockholm, Sweden as a social entrepreneur. Working with decentralization of democracy, climate transformation and economy. For more info, please get in touch with me via [email protected]


Vlad's politics
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