prediction markets

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Prediction Markets Hit a Record $78.2B in September: Q3 2026 Preview

2 Oct 2026 1 minute read 0 comments Edwin Munyui $0.10

Prediction markets closed September with $78.2 billion in notional volume, marking the largest month ever compared to July’s record which sat at $56.4 billion.  We’re putting together our Q3 report, and this week’s letter draws on three fundamental c...

Polymarket Sports Trading Hit $299 Million in a Week. What’s Behind the Number?

25 Sep 2026 2 minute read 0 comments Edwin Munyui $0.05

This week’s Prediction Frontier letter turns to sports. They accounted for $299.3 million, more than half of Polymarket’s on-chain trading, from September 14–20. Esports added another $77.4 million. That much trading needs someone willing to take the...

Novig Topped Kalshi in Search for Three Days. Did Sydney Sweeney Bring Traders?

21 Sep 2026 2 minute read 0 comments Edwin Munyui $0.07

The past week has been quite interesting for the prediction market sector, with discussion around Novig’s “Just Sports” campaign featuring Sydney Sweeney taking centre stage. Did it hit the sweet spot? On visibility, the answer appears to be yes. On...

Zoomex Prediction Markets Expand Long-Term Trading Across Major Crypto Industry Questions

18 Sep 2026 6 minute read 1 comment Publish0x PRs $0.56

VICTORIA, Seychelles, September 17, 2026  Alongside its fast-moving short-term contracts, Zoomex Prediction Markets has always carried a deep Long-Term category, a full slate of event contracts that let traders take a position on some of the industry...

Can Prediction Markets Actually Absorb a $1 Million Hedge? We Tested It

28 Aug 2026 2 minute read 1 comment Edwin Munyui $0.11

It’s been four weeks since the last Prediction Frontier Weekly. We spent most of that time in the trenches, refining what we’re building and digging into the question that followed the World Cup: what comes next? Sports are still driving much of the...

On-Chain Prediction Markets vs. Online Gambling: Financial Innovation or Just New Digital Casinos?

5 Aug 2026 2 minute read 2 comments RodrigoCalabar $0.08

    The On-Chain Prediction Markets sector has seen an explosion in trading volume and global attention. Decentralized platforms where users trade positions on real-world events — ranging from central bank interest rate decisions to political el...

Robinhood’s $156M Event-Contract Quarter Puts Prediction Markets to the Business-Model Test

3 Aug 2026 5 minute read 0 comments Edwin Munyui $0.05

Prediction markets defended the correct FOMC outcome, generated more quarterly revenue for Robinhood than equities or crypto, and moved deeper into corporate hedging. The signal is working. The next test is whether the category can create durable fin...

Polymarket Blocked in Italy: What It Means for Users and Prediction Markets

31 Jul 2026 4 minute read 2 comments CondividiSulWeb $0.16

For years, Polymarket has been one of the world's most talked-about prediction market platforms, allowing users to trade on the probability of future events ranging from elections and sports to cryptocurrency prices and global politics.Now, the platf...

Man Of Tomorrow #23 - I Was An Idiot And Lost Everything

29 Jul 2026 3 minute read 4 comments PVM $0.58

The Man of Tomorrow series delves beyond surface highlights, offering a glimpse into my daily life! Bits on how I spend my time, lessons learned, and motivational insights to spark your ambition. Somewhere along the way, I realized something simple b...

World Cup Volume Is Fading. Can Prediction Markets Keep the Capital?

18 Jul 2026 3 minute read 0 comments Edwin Munyui $0.03

Prediction markets have spent much of the World Cup breaking trading-volume records. This week offered the first indication of what happens when the tournament begins to wind down. Polymarket’s World Cup Winner market generated $165.6 million in seve...