prediction markets

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Can Prediction Markets Actually Absorb a $1 Million Hedge? We Tested It

28 Aug 2026 2 minute read 1 comment Edwin Munyui

It’s been four weeks since the last Prediction Frontier Weekly. We spent most of that time in the trenches, refining what we’re building and digging into the question that followed the World Cup: what comes next? Sports are still driving much of the...

On-Chain Prediction Markets vs. Online Gambling: Financial Innovation or Just New Digital Casinos?

5 Aug 2026 2 minute read 2 comments RodrigoCalabar

    The On-Chain Prediction Markets sector has seen an explosion in trading volume and global attention. Decentralized platforms where users trade positions on real-world events — ranging from central bank interest rate decisions to political el...

Robinhood’s $156M Event-Contract Quarter Puts Prediction Markets to the Business-Model Test

3 Aug 2026 5 minute read 0 comments Edwin Munyui

Prediction markets defended the correct FOMC outcome, generated more quarterly revenue for Robinhood than equities or crypto, and moved deeper into corporate hedging. The signal is working. The next test is whether the category can create durable fin...

Polymarket Blocked in Italy: What It Means for Users and Prediction Markets

31 Jul 2026 4 minute read 2 comments CondividiSulWeb

For years, Polymarket has been one of the world's most talked-about prediction market platforms, allowing users to trade on the probability of future events ranging from elections and sports to cryptocurrency prices and global politics.Now, the platf...

Man Of Tomorrow #23 - I Was An Idiot And Lost Everything

29 Jul 2026 3 minute read 4 comments PVM

The Man of Tomorrow series delves beyond surface highlights, offering a glimpse into my daily life! Bits on how I spend my time, lessons learned, and motivational insights to spark your ambition. Somewhere along the way, I realized something simple b...

World Cup Volume Is Fading. Can Prediction Markets Keep the Capital?

18 Jul 2026 3 minute read 0 comments Edwin Munyui

Prediction markets have spent much of the World Cup breaking trading-volume records. This week offered the first indication of what happens when the tournament begins to wind down. Polymarket’s World Cup Winner market generated $165.6 million in seve...

Can Prediction Markets Become Corporate Hedging Tools? The $500 Million World Cup Test

10 Jul 2026 4 minute read 0 comments Edwin Munyui

Prediction markets have spent much of the World Cup proving that they can attract retail trading volume. This week offered a more consequential development: can the same markets become a tool for hedging financial risk at the institutional level?  Su...

GenLayer Validators Bring Consensus Where Code Alone Cannot

9 Jul 2026 1 minute read 2 comments PVM

We need an "oracle" to sort those debates that are not yes or no! Imagine thousands of AI agents making deals, signing contracts, or arguing over real world events. Regular blockchains can only verify facts that are already clear and objective. They...

World Cup Brought the Crowd… But Something Bigger Is Happening on Kalshi and Polymarket

8 Jul 2026 3 minute read 0 comments MakeItReal

The FIFA World Cup may have sparked the biggest traffic surge prediction markets have ever seen, but the most surprising story isn't happening on football markets. It's happening everywhere else. For the first time ever, non-sports prediction markets...

Prediction Markets’ $45 Billion Month Brings the Institutional Opportunity Into Focus

3 Jul 2026 6 minute read 0 comments Edwin Munyui

Prediction markets closed out June with the biggest month in the sector's history. Combined trading volume across Kalshi, Polymarket, and Polymarket US reached $44.8 billion, up 75% from May's $25.66 billion, according to The Block, with the FIFA Wor...