business cycles

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Market risk, volatility, and business cycles

2 Apr 2023 1 minute read 0 comments fmiren

  Market risk, volatility, and business cycles We know that exogenous factors, such as major geopolitical events (wars, trade wars, regional conflicts, invasions etc.), can and do create significant volatility. For example, a geopolitical tension, ev...

Business cycles, fixed-income investments and credit-risk cycle

1 Apr 2023 2 minute read 0 comments fmiren

  Business cycles, fixed-income investments and credit-risk cycle The level of credit risk varies over and responds to business cycles maybe not very directly but in a systematic way. Credit risk reaches its peak during recessions when corporate defa...

Is a recession probable?

20 Mar 2023 2 minute read 2 comments fmiren

Introduction Business cycless and economic indicators Multiple indicators were developed by NBER to better understand and track business cycles. There are three types of indicators. Leading, coincident, and lagging indicators predict, date, and follo...