Zen blog post in Russian
https://dzen.ru/a/aczdj4GLTEd0bclv
About military adventures without strategy. Afterword and conclusions, key problems in the USA and in Russia, comparison of the political system of the USA and Russia, key problems of the US administration.
And what's going on with us... Some people were left without cards and finally lost all their support and ratings... His MAGICIANS reject him, saying that the king is not real and is under the influence of foreign countries (guess which ones). A special military operation against Iran (yes, there is a terrible regime there. And? Let's start bombing all the terrible regimes? And if we do, we should at least have a brain, as well as strategy and tactics) it turned out to be aimless and ill-conceived, we are stuck in Iran until at least September, but that's what Congress will say. What a surprise, it turns out that the Strait of Hormuz can be blocked there. But if Congress blocks the financing of the war, then everything will stop.
Our Tsar father is not exactly a King, he lacks authority. Noem is fired (Secretary of Homeland Security), Bovino (the immigration bigwig who killed US citizens) resigns. Bondi (Attorney General) is being summoned to congressional hearings for the second time, accused of improper management of the investigation and incomplete disclosure of documents on the Epstein case. The NATO allies, who were thoroughly fucked up and tariffs were imposed on them (oh, who did this brilliant thing), for some reason do not want to enter the war. It's weird, isn't it? So, have you forgotten anything about the brilliant actions of the GREAT president? Ahhh, the tariffs were declared illegal by the court. The new law on changing elections cannot pass Congress, some Republicans are voting with Democrats against it and there are not enough votes to pass it, 60 are needed... Midterm elections are coming soon. It's such a smart thing when the president, who is elected for 4 years, does not live up to his expectations and after 2 years there are midterm elections. The results of which give the president the go-ahead for everything or, on the contrary, block his actions, which I am happy to expect. The way the country is reacting gives us hope and not only confidence that the House is likely to be Democratic after the midterm elections, which means that no more idiotic laws will pass before the Senate, and the Senate will be either equal or with a minimal margin, which will also make it difficult to introduce new stupid and harmful laws. This means that there will be a lot of stink and statements for the rest of the term, you know from whom, but he will not be able to do anything. Ugh, how I'm waiting. And what a beautiful brown woman would do wrong, I think it's impossible to be worse than orange.
My post is not about the war with Iran, but about the current president and his reckless, ill-conceived operations, which are only part of his actions. Here I am judging from America and the Americans, the Americans do not want this war. This is Israel's interest, not the United States'. But I don't think we shouldn't help each other, of course, especially since America always helps Israel. But we must do this strategically and tactically correctly, taking into account the will and security of our people, first of all.
No one denies the malignity of the Iranian regime. But you need to go to war at least with the cards, I didn't come up with this formulation and appoint a competent person as minister of war, not an alcoholic journalist who kissed your ass. The current administration is the most incompetent, take for example Kennedy as Minister of Health, this is a trash.
Trump's entire base is contradictory camps, one of the main ones is the MAGA, the extreme right, and they are now accusing Trump of being controlled by a foreign state, that is, Israel. He can say anything he wants, he can shout loudly and declare, but the results will be different. Amendments to the Constitution cannot be carried out without Congress, and even if this happens, there are judges who will block these decisions. These are the checks that don't work so fast, but they work right.
Nevertheless, at least there is hope for the United States. And in Russia, the 26th year, many people are still waiting for changes... Okay, someone is 30 years old now, but many were born and have lived with Him all their lives...
And finally, a very interesting question for the reader.. When was it necessary to start fighting Hitler? This is a recognized evil, it had to be destroyed... But in '36, the whole world went to him for the Olympics and applauded in admiration of Hitler, who raised Germany from its knees. And a year or two later, they fed him the Czech Republic. Although it could have been very, very badly worn out in the Sudetenland. Not like in France. But they didn't want to, the hut turned out to be on the edge. They wanted to in Poland, in '39, but it was too late. He's already ahead of everyone. And only England was saved by the situation on the island and the help of the United States. All countries went down without a fight. The question is, when should Iran be stopped? Is it necessary to wait for him to make his 11 nuclear bombs and drop them? And he has the means of delivery, for a long time. There is a clock in a square in Tehran marking the time before the destruction of Israel and the United States. Little and Big Satan, in their coordinate system. Still what? Do we have to wait, or finally do something? Is September 11 not enough? Do I need to repeat it? It is absolutely obvious that, absolutely regardless of which president is in power, the General Staff is constantly studying scenarios of possible wars in different theaters of operations, and especially in the Middle East and Taiwan. There is nothing unexpected or ill-conceived there, and there cannot be. It's not for nothing that people eat bread there. And there are no wars without losses and inconveniences. Since you've raised a monster, now you have to be patient, you can't go anywhere. Therefore, it is better to stock up on popcorn and patience and really wait for the development of events. Yes, a couple of weeks, it's not a problem. A tie is when it's 4 or 5 years old. That's the key. The difference is obvious.
Afterword and conclusions from the Ship Shard blog:
In the USA, even if there are problems, the system is capable of self-correction. In Russia, expectations of change by 2026 remain illusory for many citizens, especially for those who have lived under the same political regime all their lives.
Comparison of the political system of the USA and Russia
Prospects in the USA:
- The system of checks works: even the "flighty" decisions of the president can be blocked by Congress, the courts or the election results.
- The midterm elections will be an indicator of confidence in the current administration.
- A period of "stagnation" in legislation is likely: the president will retain his rhetoric, but lose the opportunity to implement radical laws.
Prospects in Russia:
- The lack of effective mechanisms of checks leads to the stability of the government, but reduces the chances of rapid change.
- Expectations of changes by 2026 remain uncertain, especially for the generation that grew up under the current regime.
Countering threats requires a balance between determination and prudence. And a war without a strategy is a path to a protracted crisis.
When was it really possible to act against a threat like Iran? Not when it's convenient for politicians, but when it is.: 1) a clear strategy; 2) international support; 3) readiness for long-term consequences; 4) priority for the security of one's own people, proportionality of threat and reaction.
To act not instead of solving internal problems, but in parallel with them. Not alone, but in a coalition with allies. In any case, a balanced approach is needed, where decisions are made not based on emotions, but on the basis of analysis and consideration of all factors.
At this time, we can identify the key problems of the US administration, according to which to determine the prospects for the development of President Trump's team.:
1. Loss of support and split in the ranks of supporters
- The MAGA (Make America Great Again) movement is beginning to distance itself from the leader, accusing him of "unreality" and the influence of foreign countries.
- There is a split among Republicans: some of them vote with the Democrats, blocking the president's initiatives.
2. Personnel failures
- Dismissals and resignations of key figures: the Minister of Internal Security (Noem), a senior immigration official (Bovino).
- Problems with the competence of the appointed persons: criticism of Kennedy (Minister of Health), criticism of the Minister of Defense ("drunken journalist").
- Allegations of maladministration: Bondi (Attorney General) summoned to a hearing on the Epstein case.
3. Legislative failures
- Unsuccessful attempts to pass a new law on changing elections (60 votes in Congress are missing).
- Recognition of tariffs as illegal by judicial authorities.
4. Foreign policy miscalculations
- Conflict with NATO allies over tariffs imposed.
- Lack of support from Allies in potential military operations.
5. Military adventures without strategy
- Criticism of the operation against Iran: the lack of a clear goal and plan, the risk of a protracted conflict.
- The threat of blocking the Strait of Hormuz is a potential economic blow to the global economy.
God has given man freedom of choice. And no other person has the right to take it away from you. I remain free and wish you all the same, to be free!
Anna Kim
I wanted to go to the ocean at night, the moon is unrealistically bright, like a lamp. There are also dumb situations in America that haven't changed in decades. Holes in the legislation, sometimes they come out. But how beautiful the world is! Of course, a man would not destroy it...
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