NFA / NMA. My personal opinions only. DYOR.
Let's be clear, my timing last time I did this was very lucky. I last referenced a train whistle and an impatient train conductor. It was a gut feeling. Little did I realize what was going on. I did a podcast on Guardians United and decided to do some homework before that cast. During that work, I came across the 12/21/21 date and a light bulb clicked……LIQUIDITY.
#1- RARE HEROES. The bottom of all floors. The least in value atm, but overall hold so much indication for the whole GoG market. Since 11/18/21, RH's have gone from .0019 - .002, to .0025 - .0039 (3 weeks later), then to .0065 - .008 (6 weeks later) , and then launched to a zero flipping .013 - .018 (9 weeks later). The peak LOW for ALL 9 WEEKS was today at .01389 Ulmak. The peak HIGH for ALL 9 WEEKS was 01/11/22 Strider .0198 ......Yes, we almost flipped another zero in this time frame. Insane gains in this rarity and super bullish for the over all stability of prices in the game.
#2- EPIC HEROES. I called for a big increase on EH's, and while they did go up, I was expecting closer to a FLOOR of .08 - .1 which we didn't see. I missed a bit on this one. Since 11/18/21, Epic Heroes have gone from .024 - .039 to .029 -.031 (3 weeks later), then to .028 - .045 (6 weeks later), and then to .055 - .076 (9 weeks later). Looks like EH's started to get going on 01/03/22 and peaked on 01/11/22 for .0628 - .0789. I’m thinking about why this is the case, but I don't have a good answer yet.
#3- LEGENDARY HEROES. These have been STRONG to say the least. Since 11/18/21, LH's price went from .208 - .235 to .196 - .229 (3 weeks later), then to .25 - .299 (6 weeks later), and then to .36 - .482 (9 weeks later). The increase started around 12/28/21 and peaked on today 01/18/22. Lia did hit .489 on 01/11/22. The numbers may not look like big increases, but the dollar amounts are. These prices don't fluctuate much. Lia reigns most days, unless Brycent talks about the Glade.
#4-ENERGY BOOSTERS / ADVENTURE GUILDS. These were both holding their price ranges for some time and lagged a little behind the late Dec / early Jan price surge. Since 11/18/21, EB's were .0804 - .0718 (3 weeks), then to .0758 (6 weeks) and then launched to .139 (9 weeks). About 12/31/21, the price action started getting frothy and peaked at .188 on 01/04/22. I still stand by my statements. EB's will be King just behind Guild Tokens and I see a minimum 1.5 ETH floor for these at some point. The question for me is when do EB 2.0 come out and how potent are they?
Since 11/18/21, A. Guilds were 1.049 - .99 (3 weeks later), then to .90 (6 weeks later), and then launched to 1.398. Again, on 12/31/21, the price action started getting frothy and on 01/04/22....peaked at 1.955.....I don't think I have to comment much on this, the numbers do the job alone. It's tough to tell where these will eventually end up one day....they remind me so much of land in other games.
#5-COMMON PETS. They are finally getting some respect, but still undervalued imo. Since 11/18/21, .0069 avg. price, then to .0051 avg. price (3 weeks later), then to .0067 avg. price (6 weeks later), and launched to a zero flipping .0169 avg. price (9 weeks later). Common pets started taking off on 12/29/21 and peaked today 01/18/22 for the .0169 avg. price. UNDERVALUED STILL.
#6-RARE PETS. Rare pets increased later compared to others, but somewhat pulled off what Rare Heroes did. Not the bottom floor of pets, but significant due to being below higher tier entry points. Since 11/18/21, Krios Price .0288 - .0174 (3 weeks later), then to .0244 (6 weeks later), and then to .0635 (9 weeks later).---Stype price .024 - .0156 (3 weeks later), then to .022 (6 weeks later), and then to .0689 (9 weeks later).---Urska price .0239 - .0163 (3 weeks later), then to .0212 (6 weeks later), and then to .058 (9 weeks later). The ramp up of prices started on 01/02/22 and Urska led the charge peaking at .076 on 01/12/22. Insane gains just like the Rare Heroes.
#7-EPIC PETS. Some great gains here, especially Meku. Since 11/18/21, Onyx price .0834 - .0638 (3 weeks later), then to .139 (6 weeks later), and then to .2379 (9 weeks later).---Namur price .0848 - .0586 (3 weeks later), then to .095 (6 weeks later), and then to .239 (9 weeks later).---Meku price .0764 - .0546 (3 weeks later), then to .087 (6 weeks later), and then to .207 (9 weeks later). Meku got some respect for a minute, then fell back down again just a touch. Onyx has been challenged this time around for the top spot. Onyx still seems to be the favorite most days.
#8-LEGENDARY PETS . The "Bi-polar" days of Legendary Pets may be over. They seem to have found their rightful place in the pricing charts, that 1 ETH mark.... for now.....Since 11/18/21, "Yacht Boat Party" Cadmus price .565 - .95 (3 weeks later), then to .37 -.744 (6 weeks later), and then to 1.468 (9 weeks later).---Selene price .42 - .80 (3 weeks later), then to .34 - .579 (6 weeks later), and then to .985 (9 weeks later).---Lucius price .437 - .80 (3 weeks later), then to .33 - .479 (6 weeks later), and then to .93 (9 weeks later). Legendary gains for Legendary Pets. ALL HAIL CADMUS. The price increase action on pets started roughly 12/25/21 and peaked with a 1.5 Cadmus on 01/04/22.
#9-Chromas These prices are up, how much compared to last time??….well i'm tired and 4 am is coming soon... I still have to talk about Reborne and wrap this up. I'll do a different piece on Chromas another day.
#10-Reborne Man he looks cool. I started tracking Reborne on 12/23/21 to give the pricing market a few day to settle. Reborne started at .084 and has bounced around quite a bit reaching a peak of .13 on 01/13/22. Reborn seems to hang around that .12 mark most days. Very tough to tell when he will raise in price dramatically. Lots of supply of him on the market still. It will come eventually. UNDERVALUED imo.
Wrap up. LIQUIDITY. While the hype is STRONG in this community, Roughly 43 million tokens was injected into the GoG eco system. This was done via founders tokens, 50% coin list tokens being released, and 10k Free PFP's. The PFPs have a STRONG trading eco system considering they originally were stated to be "just PFPs". Not all the tokens were spent in the eco system, but the GoG Degens most likely did. The date was 12/21/21 if you don't believe me. It's in discord and immuta-scan shows the trends. I believe that Liquidity is mostly spent and for now, ppl are holding. There has been a slight pull back on some days, and I do mean slight. How long are ppl holding onto their Golden GoG Train Tickets?? I'm holding, but I got the GoG Degen fever bad if you didn't know. The hard date for alpha is coming and I expect another pump then.
Quick shout out to IMX NFT Stats (@coffeexcrypto2)
Volume has been going down consistently for almost a week now, the quick click stats help me out a ton and thanks!!! Give him a follow and watch the volume. It's not 100% correlation, but it's not a bad indicator to have. PPL ARE STILL HOLDING ATM DESPITE THE LARGE VOLUME DROP.
#LFG2022G
