Who would have thought that spontaneously creating a Jewish state on other people's land, in the middle of a region where they would be hated and boycotted by everyone, continue to steal land, commit war crimes and genocide for over 8 decades would be a bad idea?

As if letting them join the Euro football competition and that cringe singing show would somehow balance things out. F***ng r***rded! But to get straight to the point: Any pro-Trump nutjob claiming that Trump is a ''peace president'' and really wants ''diplomacy over war'' might be as delusional as EU politicians.

Four years ago, Trump personally gave orders to kill an Iranian military leader who was on a formal diplomatic visit in Baghdad. The Iranians back then responded rather softly by merely bombing one or two US bases which they even gave prior notice about. But did they really respond weakly, or was is that whole ''strategic patience'' thing they kept talking about? I am seriously wondering now because for the last four years, especially when Syria fell, I thought this whole strategic patience thing was 🐎💩.

But you know the difference back then? You know what didn't happen yet back then? You know what Iran would not get in a million years back then? Unconditional Russian support. You see, the past four years have shifted the world towards a standoff in which two sides have already slightly pulled the trigger at each other, but one side had pulled it considerably more than the other. That side is Nato.

The other side of course is Russia in its Ukraine war. There they only killed several Nato member state advisors on the ground and destroyed a few of their provided warplanes. In contrast, the past four years Ukraine received vital intelligence and weaponry that attacked Russian targets on several occasions hundreds of kilometers away from the border region. Only a fool or politician would think that would go unanswered. But how to answer? Technically it was ''Ukraine'' who pulled the trigger as France, England and the US under Biden were whispering in their ear and providing the gun. This led to a rather weird stand off in which Russia pretty much had to show restraint and basically could not really hit back without being the bigger aggressor, because hitting back would mean to directly fire themselves on Nato ships or bases, while Nato member states technically did not fire themselves towards Russia. Thus Russia had nothing to do but wait for an opportunity to return the favor. And it is here where Iran's strategic patience and Russia's restraint will meet.

Most of you can already see the writing on the wall. The very first French, Dutch or English warship or jet that makes even the slightest misstep in the vicinity of Iran or Israel will be given unconditional Russian support to bomb it into scrap and EVERY possible support thereafter if they send over more to attack Iran in some sort of hocus pocus ''self defense'' response. This is the core reason why people call it WW3, the chain of events and consequences of arming Ukraine with Western weapons, that same West who can not go a single year without getting into another war, would sooner or later come home to roost. Iran apparently, is that home.

This and I believe only this, is why Trump has abandoned the idea of war with Iran which he came two seconds to midnight from getting four years ago. No hold on, not the only one: An Iraq war criminal Bush era report and simulation of what would happen if the United States actually attacked Iran, resulted in an estimated 20.000 US deaths and 16 sunk warships on the first day alone.

Dubbed as the MC02 simulations, one of the largest and most expensive war games. Bush initially tried to ignore the findings and was still talking this "evil axis" stuff and not ruling out a war with Iran. What eventually stopped the Bush Admin. from doing so? We'll never fully know for sure, but luckily ''democracy'' doesn't really matter over there because every single nutjob president (or sore loser) was contemplating this very war.

And now, the current nutjob is closer than ever and ironically, the main reason it has not happened yet is their involvement in Ukraine. Oh, and that whole Iranian capability to eradicate the entire fifth fleet. Capabilities btw which Iran has proven ten fold to be true the past two days.

This is why I believe if any Nato member will participate in aiding Israel, it won't be the US and that they are currently busy on the background in finding a more suitable candidate who does have the weapons but little to no bases and personnel in the area. But who then? Who would be dumb enough to send its material and people to certain obliteration for the sake of the Israeli aggressor?

What if they can't find a suitable alternative? France has the least to lose in the region, but if France refuses the chances that England will step up are rather small. Not only do they have considerably more to lose in the Persian gulf region but these two hate each other almost as much as Israel and Iran. Why watch your own capabilities diminish while your competitor next door who isn't even an EU member anymore stays unharmed? The Netherlands comes to mind with a literal anti-Islamist maniac at the helm, but get real. They couldn't even defend their own country in case of a war, let alone assist another country thousands of kilometers away.

So this is not a matter of these war loving Nato members changing their minds and suddenly being anti-war. This isn't them being upset about Israel's genocide and therefore distancing themselves from it no, this is them literally at a check mate position. If no one steps up to help Israel, it's either hope Israel can survive, let it fall, or trigger WW3.

Is this why Bitcoin barely reacted to the war? This is very uncharacteristic. In the previous single-day bombings between Iran and Israel it crashed by almost 10% every time but here we have a full blown war and just a tiny 3% correction? Do some people know something the rest doesn't? Do they know no one will step in and risk a wider global war? IDK but I do know that if the markets start to crash without any reason, they sorted out who the sucker will be and that wider war will most likely be very near.