Well, it's a bit of a clickbait title because nobody knows when the next bull market will start. There will certainly be a Bitcoin halving in mid-2024. Everyone knows this term, for those few who don't know it: "halving" refers to the rewards of the miners.
Every 4 years, the rewards of the miners are halved, this makes BTC an asset with declining inflation.
The cycles were these:
2012=BTC Halving
2013=Bull Market (all time high for BTC in December 2013)
2014=Bear Market
2015=Laterality
2016=BTC Halving
2017=Bull Market (all time high for BTC in December 2017)
2018=Bear Market
2019=Laterality
2020=BTC Halving
2021=Bull Market (all time high for BTC in November 2021)
2022=Bear Market
2023=Laterality
2024=Halving
2025=Bull Market?
If you notice, the bull market always took place the year after the BTC halving which takes place every 4 years. The last halving will be in 2140. However, the markets are not predictable and it is said that they always repeat themselves. Surely we can say that halving, over the months, creates what is called a "supply shock", driving up the price of BTC. There is also a psychological factor as well.
MY CRYPTO PORTFOLIO
In any case, let's not waste any more time and I'll show you my portfolio for the next bull market. I do not report liquidity (stablecoin). The strategy is to accumulate in the Bear Market and sell a large part of the stablecoin positions during the up cycles. A percentage of these stablecoins are reused in Bear Market to accumulate again. Liquidity in stablecoin has increased continuously through staking (mainly ATOM), through airdrops and NFT sales. The distribution is this:
BTC=55%
ETH=20%
ATOM=10%
SOL=5%
SNX=5%
POLIS=2%
RADAR=2%
STARS, JUNO, NANA=1%
How is this portfolio built? I give precedence to BTC and should increase my amount of ETH. If you have been operating in the crypto sector for many years, you know very well that a good portfolio cannot be without BTC and ETH. You can't just have high risk bets. You can do it with 5-6% of your capital. Clearly if your investment is $5,000 and for you it is a sum that you can afford to lose, you can also go on medium/low market cap bets but if you operate with enormously larger sums you cannot do without BTC and ETH. The queens of the market don't make you do 10x but they preserve capital well and always have upward trends over time. You could also get the wrong buying and selling time but you are left with something of great value that will appreciate over time. Many altcoins exist today, tomorrow they may no longer exist leading to huge losses. You should think about Luna and all the top 50 altcoin that disappeared from the 2017 bull market to 2021. Moving beyond BTC and ETH, let's move on to the others. ATOM will remain in this percentage. Through ATOM I make continuous "take profit" thanks to the staking rewards (19/20% APY) so it's a very tactical crypto even in Bear Market because it allows me to always have monthly liquidity (in stablecoins) and some airdrop. The last few months the price action hasn't been devastating (about 9/10$=1 ATOM), however imagine having X amount of ATOM at 19% per year. Almost as if you are taking a stablecoin annuity with a variable price range from $9 to $12.
SOL is an income on Marinade Finance through liquid staking (6%). I've never been a big fan of Solana, due to the constant crashes of the chain. However it could be a major trend thanks to NFT, metaverses and strategic partnerships. They have also launched a smartphone: Saga mobile.
SNX is another income token on the Synthetix Network, however the rewards are being re-staked and I am still accumulating. When you stake SNX you open debt on the Synthetix platform because you receive sUSD. I use sUSD for speculative trades mainly.
HIGH RISK BETS
You shouldn't be surprised that I have about 5% in very low market cap bets. Actually POLIS (Star Atlas) was very disappointing in the bear market. The bear market for POLIS was absolutely devastating, also due to the bankruptcy of FTX (who were the main investors of the project under the name of Alameda Research). The team had given itself 1 year to live (which expired in September 2023), however developments are going on, even if they have been forced to fire many devs due to lack of funds. The project will continue for many more years,
RADAR is the token of DappRadar that you surely know. I think it could be the classic 50/60x gambling bet. The site is known and RADAR has not experienced the previous bull run so it should have a limited amount of bagholders (people at a loss who hinder the price's recovery).
STARS and JUNO are two layer1 on Cosmos Hub. I received their airdrop, however during Bull Market 2021 I bought these tokens again and became a bagholder. In the Bear Market I gave it another chance by averaging the price. STARS are in profit, with JUNO heavily in loss. Both positions will be 100% sold off during the future Bull Market. The last bet bought 1 month ago is NANA. NANA is the token of the play to earn "The Heist" on Solana. Why did I buy it? This game is doing good volumes and NANA has a very low market cap (about 4 million). The mechanism of the game leads many NANA to be burned: about 500 million of supply has been burned. The total supply was 1 billion, today we are around 450 million. After Season 1, NANA will no longer be issued and will still serve "in game". I would like to point out that I do not own any Heist NFT, I simply bought the NANA token. Surely if The Heist lasts until the next Bull Market, it is a token that can also do 100x. If, on the other hand, The Heist is no longer profitable, the token could quickly go to 0. It is a bet with very high potential but also with very high risk. Asymmetric risk.
Under Observation 📡: MATIC, UNI (Uniswap), CRV (Curve), BAL (Balancer), ILV (Illuvium), RDNT (Radiant), WILD (Wilder World)
Blacklist 🚫: ADA, XRP, XLM, ICP (Internet Computer Protocol), TRX (Tron), FIL (Filecoin), HBAR (Hedera), ALGO, EGLD, FTM (Fantom), LUNC, Exchange Token
My portfolio also includes investments in NFT but I will cover them in a future article!
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