A new year has just begun, and Bitcoin's price is at 87648.
Over the next 12 months, this level will be key, and we'll use it as a pivot point to detect overbought/oversold conditions and make the best decisions.
Annual Timeframe:
I don't expect Bitcoin to return to its all-time high in 2026, and if it does, the price would first need to take hold of the liquidity below 74,500.
This annual imbalance (FVG-Y) is quite large, but for now, I'll only be interested in the upper half (74,500 - 59,000).
I will maintain this overall view throughout 2026, and every decision I make will be based on this thesis.
Quarterly Timeframe:
The key takeaway here is that the upper liquidity level was wiped out, and the last quarter of 2025 closed with strong bearish conviction. Therefore, I expect to see price movement during the first half of the new year, at least to the quarterly low of 80600.
On the upside, 105100 is the low price from Q3 2025, and that's the area I'll be focusing on.
Monthly Timeframe:
Be careful here, because December closed with an internal, accumulation candle, which suggests that volatility will increase significantly in January/February.
Above, the liquidity I'm interested in is at the monthly imbalance (FVG-M). I'll be looking for the first sell signals here.
On the downside, I'll continue to prioritize 80600 and 74500 for more reliable confirmations before buying.
In conclusion:
During this January, and due to the potential implied volatility following a cumulative December, I will focus solely on upper monthly liquidity and lower quarterly/annual liquidity.
I will consider these liquidity levels as potential targets for taking profits, as well as potential entry points for opening positions.
In 2026, I will maintain the core of our strategy:
- Buy below the opening price and previous lows.
- Sell above the opening price and previous highs.
- Buy below the 50% (0.5) Fibonacci retracement level.
- Sell above the 50% (0.5) Fibonacci retracement level.
- Prioritize monthly, weekly, and daily timeframes.
- Prioritize intraday/intraweek trades.
Here is the roadmap for 2026 for BTC.
I will apply this same approach to other cryptocurrencies as long as the market allows it.
I don't plan to trade other financial assets, but I will be monitoring the S&P 500, NASDAQ, Gold, DXY, and EUR/USD to get a more complete picture of the market, and I'll share some analysis here when necessary.
I'll continue trading on the WEEX and Bitunix exchanges because they allow me to analyze charts on extended timeframes and access multiple screens without requiring a premium plan.
Also, the possibility of earning special bonuses always helps offset commission fees and losing trades.
You can register here 👇
Bitunix:
https://www.bitunix.com/register?vipCode=BUSCADOR3S
WEEX:
https://www.weex.com/es/register?vipCode=cubancrypt1
This new year, you can continue monitoring every trade I make through Copytrading 👇
https://acortar.link/CopyTradingBuscadores
Remember that I only publish updates to each analysis on Twitter and in the Private Telegram Group. Make sure to follow me there 👇
X (Twitter): https://x.com/LaRutadeSTOUT
Telegram: https://t.me/WEEXElite_CubanCrypt_bot
I will continue publishing a new article related to the trading industry every Friday on the Blog 👇
https://www.publish0x.com/cubancrypt
My social media will remain available for any contact and collaboration 👇
Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/stout_trader/
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/luis-yasiel-stout-hindz-80a4bab0/
YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@BuscadoresdeLiquidez
I hope we continue on this path together and that this year brings us much Profit and Wisdom.
Happy New Year 2026, Buscadores 🚀🎉
