Bitcoin Price Evolution Analysis 07.20.2021
by CSM TRADER
nº393
BTC price U$ 29.638.
USD/BRL price R$ 5.25.
Price EUR/BRL R$ 6.19.
Price Gold 1g R$ 301.98.
Good morning to all readers.
Bitcoin price follows me downtrend below the price area of U$ 31,500 and below the EMA 100 (H1).
Bitcoin price in the past sessions failed to make positive advances upwards from the U$30,200 price area, and gave continuities of negative corrections downwards from the U$30,000 price area.
Breaking through the $30,000 support, the Bitcoin price even tested the $29,250 price area.
Now at the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is tracking in the U$29,580 price area.
It would take a good advance in the price of Bitcoin above the U$30,220 and U$30,360 price area, for the possibilities of a rebound above U$31,500, to occur.
If the Bitcoin price does not proceed above $30,000 and still enters strong consolidations above $30,220, the downward corrections below $29,800 will remain and go for the 3rd test in the $28,600 price area.
Once this test at $28,600 is done; if the Bitcoin price breaks this price area the downside corrections will move towards much lower price areas, where tests at $27,780 could arise and still extend below the $27,220 and $26,880 price areas.
Only a good breakthrough above the $30,500 price area will allow the Bitcoin price to break out of the continued downward corrections below $29,500.
The possibilities of continued negative corrections below $29,500 are much greater than the possibilities of a return to positive developments above $30,500 and $31,500.
And there are still the CME GAP's to be closed between the price areas of $26,100 and $24,500 and $19,055 and $18,745.
A daily close has been made above the $30,700 price area.
For today a good close to slow the downward corrections would be above $30,000.
Sellers remain in control of the situation and want to take Bitcoin's price to test in the $28,600 price area.
Sellers are eyeing a break of $28,600 to continue the downside down to below $27,500 and $26,800.
Only with good positive moves by buyers above $30,500 and $31,220 in the near term will they be able to break out of a risk area of further downside created by sellers below $30,000.
Major Resistance areas - U$30,000, U$31,660 and U$32,120.
Major Support areas - U$29,500, U$28,780 and U$28,000.
H4 chart:
Bitcoin price follows below the EMAs and below the Ichimoku Cloud.
It will take for the Bitcoin price a good advance above the EMA 5 or even above $30,500 for the possibilities of positive developments to return.
If the Bitcoin price fails to make the positive advances above $30,120, the negative corrections will give the continuities below $29,800.
It would be necessary for the Bitcoin price to create solid support bases with its positive moves above $29,500, so as not to be vulnerable to continued negative corrections below $29,500 and $29,000.
Buyers need to stop sellers above the $29,500 price area so as not to have major problems with the continuity of the downside created by sellers below $29,220.
Follow the buyers as they attempt positive moves above $29,800.
The chart in H4 will follow all week to have a parameter of the Bitcoin price evolution. Only some adjustments will be made.
Resistances: U$ 29,992 // U$ 30,372 // U$ 30,869 // U$ 31,405.
Supports: U$29,491 // U$29,080 // U$28,678 // U$28,324.
https://www.tradingview.com/x/VfO1rp9v/
H1 chart:
Bitcoin price is tracking below the EMAs and below the Ichimoku Cloud.
Bitcoin price needs to return with positive developments upwards from the $30,000 and $30,320 price areas for the next few sessions to get out of a risk area of continued negative corrections to below $29,500 and $29,360.
Sellers continue to make it difficult for buyers to make positive moves above $29,880.
Buyers need to try to keep Bitcoin's price above the $29,500 price area.
Sellers are looking for the test or even the breakout at the $28,600 price area.
Follow the buyers in attempts to regain control of the situation above the U$30,000 price area, which will not be easy at all.
Resistances: U$ 29,802 // U$ 30,070 // U$ 30,362 // U$ 30,689.
Supports: U$29,510 // U$29,253 // U$29,002 // U$28,757.
https://www.tradingview.com/x/xwoiHk3L/
Dominance: 48.47 %.
" A truce in a war serves only to strengthen the enemy." ----
-- Sun Tzu
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Nº 393