No emotions here — just an observation of structure.

For the past seven consecutive months, BTC has on average dropped around 8% after the 14th.
Not once. Not by chance. But as a recurring rhythm.

Each time, the scenario is similar:
The market builds up expectations in advance, "bullish" narratives emerge, talk of continued growth, claims that "this time it's different." And then — either a controlled dump or a sharp downward move over several days.

And here’s the key point.

Bitcoin often builds a bullish narrative precisely before such pivots.
So if we see a sudden impulsive move upward in the coming days — I’d be cautious. Such moves often serve not as the start of a trend, but as liquidity for an exit.

However, if the market instead continues to press down into the designated zone without attempting to "paint strength" — that would be a far more interesting signal.
It’s precisely these sluggish, uncomfortable moves that often form a local bottom.

Paradoxical, but true:
Weakness in the right place can sometimes be more constructive than strength.

If the market maker is truly “watching” this level, a calm, non-hysterical dump could become a turning point — or at least an attempt at decoupling — a move not confirmed by widespread panic.

What comes next — price reaction will show, not a forecast.
I’m not expecting miracles here; I’m observing behavior.

If you're interested, I can break it down further:
— Why the middle of the month so often becomes a point of tension
— How to distinguish a genuine impulse from distribution
— And how I personally act during such market phases

Drop a reaction or write in the comments — and we’ll continue.