This is a weekly overview of my personal sports trading results on teams from the Belgian Jupiler League documenting my journey toward long-term profit with some insights on my overall approach.
Only 4 matches from here on out but I still managed to get a total of 18 bets in while remaining conservative. The playoffs continue to be quite strange as always but some of the major indicators / red flags continue to work quite well. The line on Anderlecht got moved toward them being the away favorite away against Genk which made so little sense that it usually plays out the way the market indicates. Next season, I plan to make a system around this as it's one of the most powerful indicators against all emotions. For now, I just used it to avoid getting in on Genk who did keep a draw home. I also managed to get in a nice 'lose-a-little/win-a-lot' position on a late over in the match between AA Gent and Oostende for a 0.2 unit loss or +1.2 unit profit which unfortunately didn't hit. Overall the week ended around break even.
I had no big bets last week that I wanted to include in the bets I take some extra on over at Copytip while sharing it in the SBC Discord Channel. I will see how it goes and get in some action if the opportunity presents itself.
Copytip /Discord Bets Season 2020-2021
19/04/2020 Anwterp -0.5 CK @ 1.92 (73' 6-3) FT 9-4 Bet WON
14/03/2020 Racing Genk +0 @ 2.720 (0-2 69') FT 1-2 LOST
11/12/2020 Racing Genk +0 @ 1.945 FT 1-0 LOST
01/11/2020 Antwerp +0 @ 2.500 FT 1-0 LOST
03/10/2020 OHL vs Zulte 1H U 1.25 @ 1.989 HT 1-0 HALF WON
30/08/2020 Club Brugge -0.25 @ 1.846 (20' 0-0) FT 2-1 WON
22/08/2020 Zulte Team Total over 2 @ 1.924 (37' 1-0) FT 4-1 WON
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I'm still ranging way above the expected pink profit line during the playoffs but this can come crashing down easily in case I drop just a couple of units.
Playoff Results 2020-2021
Playoffs W3 Results 18 Bets | 08W-05L-05P | Staked 03.978u | +0.086u Profit
Playoffs W2 Results 22 Bets | 15W-06L-01P | Staked 04.988u | +1.752u Profit
Playoffs W1 Results 25 Bets | 08W-11L-06P | Staked 06.250u | +0.004u Profit
Regular Season 2020-2021 Results 1389 Bets | 636W-612L-142P | 361.457 Staked | +11.518u Profit | +3.19% ROI
Week 4 will be played on Saturday and Sunday. I will make preview posts with all matches in them while covering the in-game action on the SBC Discord Server bringing another update next Tuesday...