Hello HODLers!

September is here — a month of back-to-school, grape harvests… and maybe the first interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve.

The upcoming FOMC meeting is set to be the most important economic event of the month, with the potential to reshape the global financial landscape. Will Jerome Powell finally give the markets the cut they’ve been waiting for?

At the same time, from Hong Kong, Eric Trump (yes, Donald’s son) has just shaken up the crypto world with a bold prediction: “Bitcoin will hit $1 million in the coming years.”

Let’s break down what’s happening — and why September could be a historic month for both traditional markets and crypto.

📈 The Evolution of U.S. Interest Rates

For anyone who got lost in the sea of economic events, here’s a quick recap of U.S. interest rates over the last five years.

• Until early 2022, rates were stuck near 0.25%, helping stimulate growth after the pandemic.

• That “cheap money” era fueled massive inflation, forcing central banks into aggressive tightening.

• By mid-2023, the Fed pushed rates to 5.5%, the highest since 2000.

• Europe and other economies started cutting rates in 2024, but the Fed remained cautious, holding around 4.5% today.

The result? Inflation has cooled, but the U.S. economy now struggles with weaker jobs data and a housing market desperate for relief.

👉 September 2025 might finally bring the much-anticipated pivot.

✂️ Time for FED Rate Cuts?

This time, it really could happen.

At Jackson Hole just days ago, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell hinted that the door is open for a cut in September — even if inflation isn’t fully where the Fed wants it. The problem? The U.S. labor market is flashing red, with July data showing unexpected weakness.

Add in a strained housing sector (low supply, high prices, and unaffordable mortgages), and the case for a modest cut is strong.

• 75% of investors now believe a cut is a done deal.

• Most analysts expect a 25 bps cut to 4.25%, with some optimists betting on 50 bps.

But don’t expect fireworks — Powell has made it clear: policy will remain restrictive, with small adjustments only.

🗓️ Mark your calendar: September 17th – FOMC meeting day.

💥 Eric Trump: “Bitcoin Will Hit $1 Million”

While macro traders obsess over Powell, the crypto world lit up at the Bitcoin Asia Conference in Hong Kong.

There, Eric Trump — son of Donald — declared:

“I truly believe Bitcoin will reach $1 million in the coming years. There’s no doubt in my mind.”

Eric revealed he now spends 90% of his time in crypto, stepping away from traditional businesses like real estate. He also hinted at strengthening ties with Metaplanet, the Japanese company famous for its aggressive BTC accumulation strategy, where he serves as an advisor.

Whether you like him or not, the Trump family has become a powerful force in U.S. (and now Asian) crypto politics — and this statement adds fuel to the bullish narrative.

⚡ Bitcoin & Crypto Heading into September

Eric Trump’s prediction is bold, but in the short term, Bitcoin still faces key macro headwinds:

• The September Fed meeting (rate cut or disappointment).

• The new U.S. Treasury refinancing cycle, which could suck liquidity from markets.

For now, Bitcoin remains stuck in a tough trading range, struggling to break out to new all-time highs.

👉 But altcoins could actually benefit, with traders betting on rising volatility and sharper moves compared to BTC.

🚀 Final Thoughts

September 2025 is shaping up to be a make-or-break month:

• If the Fed cuts rates, risk assets — from stocks to crypto — could get the boost they need.

• If Powell disappoints, brace for another round of consolidation.

Meanwhile, Eric Trump’s $1M Bitcoin prophecy adds an extra layer of hype to a market already on edge.

One thing’s for sure: all eyes are on September 17th.

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