Hi friends hope you are well and welcome to the new update on XLM. In my previous article I told you that the Stellar is going to start the formation of the right shoulder at this time the price action is moved up and started the formation of the expected right shoulder. Now let's have a look that whether this shoulder will be completed or the price action will move upward and this pattern will be invalidated.
Head and Shoulder formation:
If we take a closer look at the daily chart then while forming right shoulder the price action moved up than the level of the left shoulder. However, at this time the price action is below the head level. Therefore unless this head level will be not broken out the Head and Shoulder pattern will be validated
Now if we watch the different simple moving averages on the daily chart with the time period of 25 50 100 and 200. Then the priceline previously broke down the 25 and 50 simple moving averages. On 27th of June 2020 at the same time the price action tested the 100 and 200 simple moving averages as support and moved up again. At this time the 25 simple moving average has been broken out and the price action is likely to breakout the 50 simple moving average.
Bullish BAT pattern:
In my previous article, we have seen that the price action was forming a bullish BAT pattern. Finally priceline of XLM entered in potential reversal zone of this pattern and moved little bit down but again turned bullish and surged more than 50%.
BAT pattern before execution:
BAT pattern after execution:
But if we watch at the Karaken exchange then the price action formed a bullish Crab. As the leg was extended between 1.27 up to 1.618 Fibonacci retracement level.
Strong support of an up trendline:
On the same daily chart the price action has found a strong support of an uptrend line. Whenever the price action is moving on this trendline it is taking bounce very well. On the chart we can see that since 27 June the price action was moving sideways on this line and finally on 6th of July the price action of Stellar again turned bullish.
As the price action of Stellar is breaking out all the moving averages again on the daily chart and also took bullish divergence from the potential reversal zone of harmonic patterns. It is also bounced from the uptrend line as well. Therefore we can expect that Stellar is turning bullish however the Head and Shoulder formation is still there unless the price action will not break out the price level of head of this pattern.
Note: This idea is education purpose only and not intended to be investment advice, please seek a duly licensed professional and do you own research before any investment.