Hello HODLers!

The End of the Four-Year Cycle

For years, Bitcoin investors have relied on one simple rule: the four-year cycle driven by the halving.

Halving happens → supply shock → 14–18 months later, new all-time highs.

But according to Changpeng Zhao (CZ), founder and former CEO of Binance, that rule may no longer apply.

Speaking at the World Economic Forum in Davos, CZ made a statement that caught the attention of the entire crypto community: 2026 could mark a structural shift for Bitcoin, breaking away from its historical four-year rhythm.

If we follow the traditional model, the last halving on April 19, 2024 would have placed the peak of this cycle between August and October 2025.
Interestingly, Bitcoin reached its most recent all-time high on October 6, 2025, at $126,150 (BTC/USDT – Binance data) — perfectly aligned with historical timing.

And yet, CZ believes that this is not the real top.

Why the Old Model No Longer Works

According to Changpeng Zhao, halving is no longer the dominant driver of Bitcoin’s price.

Instead, a new set of forces is taking control:

• Institutional demand

• Macro and geopolitical dynamics

• Regulatory clarity (especially in the U.S.)

• Long-term capital replacing short-term speculation

In CZ’s own words:

“Given how pro-crypto the United States has become, and how other countries are gradually following, I think we will likely break the four-year cycle.”

This is a crucial shift.

Bitcoin is no longer a purely speculative asset driven mainly by retail hype and supply shocks. It’s increasingly treated as strategic infrastructure, a macro asset held by funds, corporations, and even governments.

That changes everything.

Bitcoin’s 4-Year Cycle Is Over: Binance Founder Speaks

CZ goes one step further and openly talks about a potential super-cycle in 2026.

Not a euphoric, leverage-driven rally — but a structural move fueled by real, long-term capital.

One of the most interesting elements of his Davos discussion was the growing role of tokenization and Real World Assets (RWA).
CZ revealed that he is in contact with more than a dozen countries exploring the issuance of tokenized sovereign assets to raise capital.

That kind of adoption was unthinkable just a few years ago.

Of course, CZ is careful not to make short-term predictions. And that honesty matters.

“If you look at today or tomorrow, there’s no way I can predict where Bitcoin will go. But if you look at a five or ten-year horizon, it becomes very easy. We’re going up.”

Whether 2026 delivers a new all-time high or simply confirms a paradigm shift, one thing is becoming clear:
Bitcoin is outgrowing its old cycle narrative.

And the market may not be ready for what comes next.

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