The FED and Regulators continue to pressure Bitcoin (BTC) and the broader crypto market. A return to sub-$30,000 looks on the cards for Bitcoin.
It was a particularly bearish day for Bitcoin (BTC) and the broader market on Friday. Market sentiment towards FED monetary policy and a continued tech sell-off weighed on the crypto market.
For Bitcoin, a 10.4% tumble on Friday left Bitcoin at $36,000 levels. The only highlight of day was a recovery from $35,000 levels. Bitcoin had last visited $35,000 levels back in July 2021.
Things were not much better elsewhere. Ethereum (ETH) slumped by 14.4%, with Crypto.com Coin (CRO) down by 14.6%. The Friday meltdown saw as much as $280bn wiped out before a partial recovery. On the day, the crypto market cap fell by $200bn.
Central Bank and Regulatory Chatter Remain Key Drivers
Bitcoin and the broader crypto market have been in a downward spiral since November. From November’s ATH $68,979, Bitcoin was down by 47.1% to Friday’s close. The time of Bitcoin’s slump has coincided with increased regulatory chatter and a shift in the FED’s stance on inflation and monetary policy.
While the regulatory scrutiny has had a direct impact, FED forward guidance has hit both the global equity markets and the crypto market.
Earlier this year, IMF had raised concerns over the interconnectedness of the U.S equity markets and the crypto market. The IMF’s comments followed calls from the Bank of England for a global crypto regulatory framework. These are not only concerns over cryptos and financial stability, however. On Thursday, a U.S Congress subcommittee hearing gathered initial views from witnesses on the impact of Proof-of-Work protocols on the environment.
During the hearing, it was evident that there were two clear sides with no one sitting on the fence. While there was nothing negative to weigh on Bitcoin and the crypto market, lawmakers were certainly leaning towards the negative aspects of Bitcoin mining. With news of the SEC also planning to increase scrutiny, the crypto market is in for a tough time ahead.
For the crypto markets, however, it hasn’t just been UK and the U.S regulators that have been more active in the crypto space.
This week, there has been news of Russia’s central bank proposing to ban cryptos and crypto mining was also negative. According to the University of Cambridge, the Russian Federation accounted for 11.23% of the Bitcoin hashrate in August 2021. Russia’s influence on the Commonwealth of Independent States could also prove damaging. Kazakhstan is the leading Bitcoin mining state, with the world’s 2nd largest hashrate of 18.1% as at August 2021.
Crypto Interconnectedness with U.S Equity Markets
On Friday, the NASDAQ slid by 2.72% to end the week down by 7.55%. The reversal left the NASDAQ in corrective territory, while also weighing on the Dow and the S&P500.
The correlation between the U.S equity markets and the crypto market looks to have justified the IMF and the Bank of England’s concerns. This in itself may well lead to even greater regulatory scrutiny. It remains to be seen whether the crypto market can come out of its current death spiral. Unlike the U.S equity markets, the FED and the U.S government will unlikely be too concerned over the latest crypto market correction.
Bitcoin Price Action
At the time of writing, Bitcoin was down by 0.24% to $36,381. A move through the today’s $37,693 pivot would bring $40,000 levels into play. Plenty of support would be needed, however, for a break back through to $38,000 levels.
A fall back to sub-$36,000 would bring the first major support level at $34,270 into play. The Bitcoin bears are eyeing a return to sub-$30,000. Bitcoin last sat at sub-$30,000 back in July 2021. $29,000 had proven to be the key support level following a reversal from last April’s previous ATH of $64,829.