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Six Scenarios To End The Russia Ukraine War


Ukraine: How might the war end?

Are You Getting the Most Out of Your Six Scenarios To End The Russia Ukraine? Photo by Sunguk Kim on Unsplash

The horrors of war are no longer present. We are in the midst of a war that none of us expected. Evacuations in large groups are a significant financial burden, and even for other countries, the consequences are enormous. As everyone expects, the war will come to an end.

In this article, we look at six different scenarios for when and how the world's most worrying war will end.

Let us look at each one:

The first possibility is that Putin's goal is to end the war.

Earlier, when asked how the war would end, Russia's foreign affairs envoy said, "When the goal is achieved."

It is to divide Ukraine in two and change it in their favor. Belarus on the one hand, Russia on the other, and NATO member states on the other.

Countries like Poland, Slovakia, Hungary, and Romania are on the other side. Ukraine's western region Western Ukraine is a part of Ukraine that has been annexed by NATO members.

By ian dooley on Unsplash

On the other hand, eastern Ukraine is said to be the closest country to Russia, and experts say Putin's goal is to achieve this goal by splitting it in two.

We will have to wait and see if the war will end in a split. If we look at the violence we have been witnessing for weeks, we can see that more violence has taken place in the regions of eastern Ukraine.

That's why Putin's goal is to turn eastern Ukraine into a pro - Russian government. We can see that the attack begins on February 24th, and there were massive attacks from the Russian side on the day of Putin's announcement.

The violence was directed at military bases. The next day we see Russian troops arriving near Kyiv.

But there was great resistance. Following that, massive attacks were launched against various Ukrainian cities. Many died.

By KAL VISUALS on Unsplash

A few days later, a few Russian soldiers were killed. Protests broke out everywhere. They were able to keep Kyiv as a stronghold.

We see in Kyiv that the existing roads and bridges there are crumbling and the defense is in such a way that the Russian army cannot get in there.

It is happening in eastern Ukraine and attacks are taking place on the land in eastern Ukraine.

Russia occupied The Donbas region, and there was a lot of violence in and around Maria Paul.

Massive attacks are also taking place in Odessa. The Russian offensive is taking place in parts of eastern Ukraine.

An attempt is being made to annex this part of Ukraine entirely. We do not see any major attacks in any of the areas here. The verb in Lviv in western Ukraine.

Large-scale attacks do not appear to have taken place here, except for small-scale attacks that took place one day. Therefore, some believe that Putin's move is to divide eastern Ukraine into two.

By Pablo Heimplatz on Unsplash

To say a few more things, what's the difference between eastern Ukraine and western Ukraine?

Important among these is the presence of the Napier River. The eastern and western parts of the Napier are called eastern Ukraine and western Ukraine.

The Dnieper River is a river of great historical significance. It originates in Belarus, and it will later enter Ukraine. It is a river that flows through Ukraine and ends on the coast of Odesa. This is an important river.

One part of it is western Ukraine, and the other part is eastern Ukraine, and we can understand that the Dnieper River divides this important Ukraine in two.

Massive attacks are taking place in the cities east of the Dnieper river. In many places, we can see that the violence ends in this river of Napier. On the other hand, we witnessed the destruction of bridges and roads.

It is also a river that divides Ukraine in two. It was one of the most important rivers in history. In history, it was a river that was attacked by the Nazi army on one side and the Soviet military troop on the other.

By Mikhail Vasilyev on Unsplash

It was on both sides. At the time of World War II, the Niger was a blood-soaked river, with the Nazis on one side and the Soviet army on the other. We can see the history of how it reached the Black Sea.

In any case, the split view can be seen by anyone on the Nipper River. Observers say Putin's move is aimed at converting the western part of the Niger to another area and the east coast to Russia. The Black Sea and the Azov Sea are important coastal areas of Ukraine.

By Kyle Johnson on Unsplash

The important thing is that Russia is moving to capture it on these two borders, according to Putin, is to dewater Ukraine.

In that case, the important thing that comes up is whether an important part of water disarmament is occupying the border between the Black Sea and the Sea of ​​Azov.

You can see the rest of the countries including Moldova on this side of Russia. Ukraine lies between the two.

We can see this part of Ukraine in the Black Sea. Russia has already occupied Crimea, a peninsula in the Black Sea.

The Sea of ​​Azov is a small body of water on the other side. The only thing that separates the two is an island.

By Erol Ahmed on Unsplash

In any case, one of the main objectives of Russia's war is to capture this strategically important area, paving the way for possible access to Moldova by capturing the shores of the Sea of ​​Azov and the Black Sea.

The territories of the Donbas had previously gained autonomy from Russia. Russia has Come here to get a hold of Maria Pole. Carson and Odessa have been captured.

All of this would make it possible for Moldova to become a direct route for Russians from the Black and Azov Seas.

By Sunguk Kim on Unsplash

That is the purpose of capturing this area. This is the area where most of the fighting takes place. NATO urges Turkey not to allow Russia to take control of the region, and Turkey has been asked to stop Russian warships from coming here.

Therefore, the Black Sea and the Sea of ​​Azov are some of the most important roads in World War II. We know that something else is happening as it covers its entire shores, and Ukraine has no coastline and it's surrounded by land.

The only area bordering the sea is some parts of the Maria Pole. With the capture of the place, the seashore itself will disappear. The primary goal of the war is to reach these areas.

By Kien Do on Unsplash

If so, then what happens with the capture of the Black Sea border to Moldova is that Russia can enter Moldova.

We can see that even Moldova, which is still not part of NATO, is turning against Russia in the first phase. They would be able to occupy strategically important areas of eastern Ukraine as well as conquer eastern Ukraine.

Many believe that Russia's move is to establish a pro - Russian regime in eastern Ukraine, and the goal is to replace the existing path with a new Pro - Russian regime.

Western Ukraine would be transformed into a separate buffer zone and eastern Ukraine into a pro - Russian state. Some believe that Russia's goal is to turn Western Ukraine into a buffer zone where violence can be prevented.

By Priscilla Du Preez on Unsplash

The second point to consider is that with the complete conquest of Ukraine and the establishment of pro-Russian rule there will be another important observation on how the war will end. That is, it does not end in eastern Ukraine, and Some people think that Ukraine needs to be completely occupied. If so, we're waiting to see what happens.

Peace talks are the third option for a ceasefire. Peace talks are taking place in stages. But Russia has said it will not comment on the allegations. Perhaps someone believes that if nothing else happens, Russia will retreat by gaining this one thing.

By Ankush Minda on Unsplash

It is expected that they are not going to return with this single goal in mind If aggrieved Ukraine is not captured. For that, Ukraine needs to make a constitutional amendment.

There are also reports of what constitutes a constitutional amendment. There is a need for Ukraine's nuclear arsenal to be dismantled as well as its constitution to be independent.

In the case of water weapons, NATO weapons and weapons should not be stored in Ukraine. It should be no such thing as a Russian threat.

They say they are not going to take a stand with the EU and that it must be written constitutionally. If that's the case, those who believe the war could have ended if this one goal had been achieved see it as a third option.

By Iftikhar Shah on Unsplash

The fourth option is a protracted war. A long battle is fought until the very last minute to achieve a goal that does not end abruptly. This is likely to last for months or years.

The option of making such a move is also presented to us as a possibility. If Putin's ambition does not end there and move on, the fifth possibility for ending the war is that it will reach as far as the war with Europe.

Putin has stated numerous times that he wishes to return Russia to the Soviet Union's glory days. It remains to be seen whether this conflict will progress in that direction. If that's the case, It will escalate into a conflict between NATO and Russia.

Previously, all of these areas were part of the Soviet Union.

Russia is concerned that its army will invade Estonia Poland, Lithuania Romania Bulgaria, and Ukraine. NATO are increasing their military presence in these areas and taking part in NATO crisis meetings.

 

By Christian Wiediger on Unsplash

Russia is feared by all of these countries, including Estonia. Is such a move possible? If that's the case, a third world war could be on the horizon.

The crucial point is that NATO will be forced to intervene, and according to war observers, a sixth option exists, although it is uncommon.

What you see now is not going to happen next. That is to say, to have an anti-Putin sentiment, and It is unknown at this time what he is going to do after leaving the post.

We can see that there is already widespread criticism of sanctions in Russia. Many people are worried about the depreciation of the ruble.

If there is a public outcry against Putin, there is a possibility that there will be a popular uprising, and there will be an end to Putin's rule.

We cannot say which of these is possible. But at this point, we can say that the war will end with one in six chances.

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Suhas Kassim
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