I think you want to cast an eye over Monero monthly, weekly and daily performance.
I think you may like to read some about Monero this weekend. Unless, like me, you read about it when it started.
Recently closed 4 older positions: 3 at loss, one gain. Total? Nearly 100% gain, over 6 months (total of 16 trades). (ex fees - about 30%).
I am out of the market now, but I think there is some probability of such scenarios repeating again.