Question: Why didn’t Bitcoin moon after the ETF Approval?


Answer: That’s not how ETFs work!

I'll get more into that in a moment, explaining why Bitcoin didn't moon like noobs thought. Anyone who has played in the stock market could have told you it wouldn't happen too quickly and definitely not in the first weeks after approval, more on that in a minute.

The Bitcoin ETF comes to Town

The introduction of a spot Bitcoin ETF (Exchange-Traded Fund) can potentially impact the price of Bitcoin in several ways, contributing to its upward movement. These are some key factors:

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Mainstream Investor Participation: The spot Bitcoin ETF provides a regulated and accessible way for mainstream investors to enter the Bitcoin market through traditional brokerage accounts. This ease of access may attract a significant number of new investors who were previously hesitant or lacked the technical know-how to invest directly in Bitcoin.

Influx of Capital: As more investors seek exposure to Bitcoin through the ETF, there is likely to be an influx of capital into the cryptocurrency market at some point. The higher demand for Bitcoin will drive up its price, following the basic economic principle of supply and demand, but it still won’t work like you expect.

Legitimacy in Financial System: The approval and launch of a spot Bitcoin ETF by regulatory authorities can be seen as a validation of Bitcoin's legitimacy within the mainstream financial system. This validation may boost confidence among investors, including institutional players, leading to increased interest and investment in Bitcoin.

Active Trading: The spot Bitcoin ETF provides a convenient way for investors to trade Bitcoin this ease of trading can attract more active traders, including hedge funds and speculators, who may contribute to increased trading activity.

Enhanced Liquidity: With more buyers and sellers participating in the market through the ETF, liquidity is likely to increase. Higher liquidity tends to stabilize prices and reduce volatility, making Bitcoin a more attractive investment for a broader range of investors.

Why Bitcoin Didn't Moon

So for anyone thinking this long-awaited milestone was gonna be a ticker tape parade of freshly minted crypto millionaires and parabolic number-go-up yolo tech...well, you've been smokin' a little too much of that BTC Hopium, my friends.

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The key misconception stems from not understanding how these fund vehicles actually operate. Take a firm like BlackRock which pioneered the first approved Bitcoin ETF. Sure, their product finally gives retail a regulated, mainstream on-ramp to get BTC exposure in their brokerage accounts. A watershed moment, no doubt.

But here's the crucial detail - BlackRock didn't need to acquire a massive stack of virgin BTC from spot markets to back their fund's shares. Those sly dogs set this all up and had been waiting already having a strategic reserve worth hundreds of millions in cold storage. Probably accumulated in the depths of the last bear quagmire when the noob crowd was mindlessly selling.

What are the Implications?

Any new ETF inflows are essentially just reshuffling mega-cap paperhands from one fertility vault to another. More musical chairs than anything sparking legitimate buy-side assimilation from retail traders attacking spot liquidity. Just deep-pocketed funds reallocating in-house for higher stablecoin yield capture.

Now, don't get me wrong, this piping of legacy financial plumbing into Bitcoin's asset infrastructure still represents an epochal milestone. It's another strand of universal embeddedness that pushes mass adoption public closer to inevitability. I can't understate the symbolic power of Grandma gaining circumvented access through her pension fund's portfolio, passing the buck to encrypted protocols.

But, to imagine the ETF approval would be some instantaneous casino ape-laddering from the spot markets? A massive dilettante cohort besieging blocks with stupendous buy pressure from their Etrade accounts? Nah, fam. Not how this industry operates. Expect more of a slow simmer at first until those stockpiles start depleting or have depleted completely, causing the intuitions to revisit the spot market this will bring the price to a boiling point…pressure cooker style. In Baseball terms, we’re still in the first inning here.

Bullish Pressure is Building

I want you to take a moment with me and imagine the current market situation as an Archer with his bow and arrow. Traders/Investors are the Archers. The ETF approval is the bow and Bitcoin is the arrow. As demand rises and supply stays the same... this always drives prices through the roof no matter the product or asset in this case.

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At some point, the stockpiles of Bitcoin these funds have will run out and they will be forced to come to the spot market once again and this will shoot Bitcoin to the MOON. So now is most likely the absolute best time in the history of Bitcoin to buy Bitcoin, because for the first time in BTC history, it can make a 50K or more jump in a day or two as soon as those stockpiles run out. I now understand why certain people have been saying 1 million per coin since mid-year 2022, I couldn't see it then but now...OH YEAH Of course this will all depend on the demand remaining high and supply doing what it can only do wait to be discovered.

If you didn't know...now you do!

 

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TheDarkSage
TheDarkSage

I'm a seasoned investor who builds wealth through diversified passive income streams across multiple asset classes. My investment approach centers on real estate, equities, and cryptocurrency, with each component designed to generate steady returns.


The Crypto Underground
The Crypto Underground

Welcome to "The Crypto Underground" ⛏️ – your go-to source for exploring the world of cryptocurrencies, dividend stocks, real estate, and passive income year-round. DISCLAIMER: All of The Crypto Underground Posts are based on my opinions alone and are for informational purposes ONLY. YOU should not take any of this information as guidance or advice for buying or selling any cryptocurrency. I am not a financial advisor, and any information I share on this channel should not be considered financial advice.

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