Crypto prices have been falling since October 11th (I remember specifically because I made a good gain on my LiteCoin the day before because of it’s 20%+ sudden gain that I successfully monetised with the sudden dip). While there have been some signs of stablisation, particularly the price of BitCoin, there is still a sense that prices are falling and that we haven’t reached the bottom yet with the FUD index in negative territory.

However, analysts are expecting crypto prices to begin recovering by late December. Even so, hence uncertainly, volatility remains high, and recovery may be uneven across BitCoin and AltCoins.

Any increases will be driven by improving global liquidity and the high likelihood of a U.S. Federal Reserve rate cut, and seasonal factors like the so‑called Santa Claus rally in which prices rise in the last week of December due to portfolio rebalancing, tax positioning, and renewed risk appetite. This is a mirror of what often happens in traditional markets. Previous years have also shown that December is historically a month when ETFs and institutional investors rebalance portfolios, and frequently channel capital into crypto. This could set the tone for Q1 2026.

So, as I touched on above, if the Federal Reserve were to make an interest rate cut in late December, which some analysts think there is a 92–93% chance of, and if it follows the usual pattern, it will stimulate the market with an end result of making liquidity cheaper. Coinbase has reported that global liquidity indicators (like M2 money supply) are showing recovery, which supports a rebound in Bitcoin and AltCoins.. Upgrades are also likely to play a role and particularly those affecting AltCoins. For example, Ethereum’s Fusaka upgrade and other technical improvements are boosting investor confidence and unlike the last cycle this even opens the door to the possibility that AltCoins may recover faster than Bitcoin – the latter of which is still over inflated for now IMHO.

So we should expect a continuing period of volatility through mid-December, with potential recovery starting in the final week of the month and based on the activities of the Fed Reserve we can expect to see a broader recovery phase in early 2026.

So, for now, keep hodling and holding on! As for me I have just moved some more CoinPayU funds into LiteCoin. With rewards being in USD, I will get much less if I wait for prices to recover and it is best to buy as low as possible. Incidentally, I am now well on my way to, through careful trading and free crypto, achieving my first whole free LTC. I currently stand at 57% with no direct interest.

As always stay safe and well my friends.