Sirwin
Sirwin

Oklahoma vs. Texas 10/9/2021 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

By PickPub | pickpub | 7 Oct 2021


 

Oklahoma visits Texas on 10/9/2021 at 12:00PM.

Oklahoma and Texas face off in a regular season matchup. Games are on campuses and crowds are full once again! Oklahoma sports a record of 5-0 this season. Texas is 4-1 this season. Enough preamble… Let’s get to the preview…

%ALT_TXT%%

Oklahoma Team Defense Preview

Oklahoma has had 51 total defensive drives this season and they yield 6.29 plays per drive. The struggle is real. Oklahoma struggles to find a way to get opposing offenses off the field. Three and outs are not common and this means that when a three-and-out is necessary late in a game to get the ball back, it is just not happening. Third and long situations are common against this season ‘s defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. Passing plays are 57.94% of their opponents’ play calls.They are a team that faces a lot of Air Raid Offenses.

Oklahoma opponents have had struggled with running the ball and the defense crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line up and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback against this season ‘s defense, they are mistaken. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Oklahoma can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 2.32 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have had been simply unable to support their running games against their defense. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect them to give up big rushing plays.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense. Oklahoma should have a sign ready for opponents near the Visitor Locker Room that says “Welcome to Hell”, their front seven is deep and they cause a lot of problems. Oklahoma is better at stopping the run than the pass this season .

Oklahoma Team Offense Preview

Oklahoma has had 54 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 6.09 plays per drive. Oklahoma run a lot of plays per drive and this could wear an opposing defense down. Any defense is in for a challenge with Oklahoma, given their ability to accrue more than 5 yards on 1st Downs and their ability to convert on 3rd and 4th Downs. They put a lot of pressure on opposing defenses.Oklahoma passes the football 54.41% of the time.Oklahoma passes more than other teams.

Oklahoma struggles with running the ball, getting zero or negative yard plays is disspiriting and the offensive line is not effectively making a good push. Poor playcalling, pre-snap adjustments or post-snap reads may be responsible and this could fall on the Quarterback, Offensive Coordinator, and Head Coach. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 2.86 yards per carry. So what does this mean? It means that the offensive line has had been incredibly disappointing in their contribution to the ground game. This is a team that is rather above-average when it comes to gashing defenses. The threat of the run forces opponents to play more honest and assignment defensive football is a must, especially against zone read looks. They are capable of busting out a long run, which is really good when the team has the ball in their own territory.

Defenses have had average success disrupting the flow of the Oklahoma Offense. They have had done a relatively good job done by this Offensive Line to prevent opposing front sevens from causing problems consistently. Oklahoma is a better passing team than running team this season .

Texas Team Defense Preview

Texas has had 47 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.66 plays per drive. Texas’s opponents run a lot of plays per drive and this leads to fatigue in the Fourth Quarter. Offensive Coordinators have had no trouble with this season defense, this is one of the worst defenses in the country. The Defensive Coordinator coaching search threads onTexasmessage boards are flights of fantasy. Passing plays are 46.62% of their opponents’ play calls.Opponents typically have had some form of run/pass balance against them.

Texas is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 3.06 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. This is a team that is getting gashed too much for the tastes of their base. Linebackers are not stopping the bleeding well enough. They are capable of giving up a long run, which is really demoralizing when the opposing team has the ball deep in their own territory.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense. Getting more specific, this front seven is a cause of a lot of headaches for offenses. They may be good enough to cause trouble in pass rush with just four rushers!Texas is better at stopping the run than the pass this season .

Texas Team Offense Preview

Texas has had 44 total drives this season and they generate 6.39 plays per drive. When you are among the best at plays per drive, you are certainly a team that aims to wear down the opposition with a high play count or with long, physical grinding drives that eat up a lot of clock. We need to find out more here when it comes to Texas. Texas has had shown a capability to be explosive on first and second down to avoid third downs and has had converted well (relatively) on 3rd and 4th Down situations. Passing plays are 36.30% of their play calls.They favors running the ball as opposed airing it out.

On first downs, getting ahead of the chains is crucial and running the ball well on first down can get a team there, Texas has had done a good job avoiding the negative yardage rushing plays. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 3.52 yards per carry. This is an elite offensive line when it comes to generating a push for the running game. They know how to create creases for running backs to break loose. Playing 7 in a box is not enough for opposing defenses, this is a great O-Line. This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. With a relatively average explosiveness in the running game, breakout rushing plays are possible, but it is not something to count on from them.

Defenses have had trouble making big, disruptive plays against Texas this season. They have had done a relatively good job done by this Offensive Line to prevent opposing front sevens from causing problems consistently. Texas is a better running team than passing team this season .

The Oklahoma Roster

The Players to Watch for Oklahoma

Spencer Rattler QB 6’1″ 205 Freshman

Spencer Rattler put up 1260 yards, tossed 10 touchdowns, and he threw 4 interceptions this season. He threw deep and medium passes to receivers more often than not. His average completed pass was 7.9 yards. He was considered one of the most mobile Quarterbacks in the country this season, designed runs and zone read looks are common. His average rush was 2.7 yards.

Kennedy Brooks RB 5’11” 215 Junior

Kennedy Brooks had 319 rushing yards on 54 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He had 4 rushing touchdowns. He is considered one of the workhorse running backs of College Football returning this season. His average rush was 5.9 yards. His contributions as a receiver this season are not worth mentioning.

Marvin Mims WR 5’11” 177 Freshman

Marvin Mims picked up 264 yards through the air. He caught the ball 14 times this season. He reached the end zone 0 times. He was a consistent option in the passing game this season. When he catches a pass, he generates on average 18.9 yards.

Isaiah Thomas DL 6’5″ 267 Junior

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Oklahoma, Isaiah Thomas, had 13 tackles this season.Among Defensive Tackles/Nose Tackles, he was clogging the gaps and playing disruptive proving he is one of the best at forcing lost yardage, he had 4 tackles for loss this season.He was among the best at disrupting things up the middle and getting to QBs, he had 4 sacks this season.

Pat Fields S 5’11” 204 Junior

The leading tackler among Defensive Backs for Oklahoma, Pat Fields, had 32 tackles this season.Among Defensive Backs, he was very active and disruptive in the backfield, he had 2 tackles for loss this season.He had 0.0 sacks this season.

Jaden Davis CB 5’10” 185 Sophomore

The leading tackler among Cornerbacks for Oklahoma, Jaden Davis, had 16 tackles this season.He forced 0 tackles for loss this season.He had 0.0 pick-offs this season.

The Texas Roster

The Players to Watch for Texas

Casey Thompson QB 6’1″ 194 Junior

Casey Thompson put up 707 yards, tossed 9 touchdowns, and he threw 3 interceptions. He was considered one of the gunslingers of College Football this season. His average completed pass was 9.3 yards. The zone read is a common part of the offense and mobility is used as part of the offense, but not necessarily the focus of the offense. His average rush was 4.8 yards.

Bijan Robinson RB 6’0″ 215 Sophomore

Bijan Robinson had 652 rushing yards on 105 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He had 7 rushing touchdowns. He is considered one of the workhorse running backs of College Football returning this season. His average rush was 6.2 yards. He is a consistent option in the passing game considering that he is a running back. When he catches a pass, he generates on average 6.2 yards.

Jordan Whittington WR 6’1″ 206 Sophomore

Jordan Whittington picked up 324 yards through the air. He caught the ball 21 times this season. He reached the end zone 3 times. He is a go-to in the passing game. When he catches a pass, he generates on average 15.4 yards.

Jacoby Jones DL 6’4″ 262 Senior

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Texas, Jacoby Jones, had 18 tackles this season.He was a strong force in the interior defense forcing 2 tackles for loss this season.He was a non-factor as far as sacking Quarterbacks was concerned this season.

Anthony Cook DB 6’1″ 191 Senior

The leading tackler among Defensive Backs for Texas, Anthony Cook, had 24 tackles this season.Among Defensive Backs, he was very active and disruptive in the backfield, he had 2 tackles for loss this season.He had 0.0 sacks this season.

Oklahoma vs. Texas Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Oklahoma 41 Texas 31

Spread Pick: Oklahoma -3.5 -101 BetOnline Get Up to a Grand in Your Hand Now!
Moneyline Pick: Oklahoma -160 Bovada
Over Pick: Over 63.5 -112 BetOnline Get Up to a Grand in Your Hand Now!

How do you rate this article?

0


PickPub
PickPub

PickPub has free predictions, picks, and previews for sporting events. The most detailed previews around and model-based predictions.


pickpub
pickpub

Detailed previews and predictions of sporting events.

Send a $0.01 microtip in crypto to the author, and earn yourself as you read!

20% to author / 80% to me.
We pay the tips from our rewards pool.