Hello HODLers!

The latest weekly market close marks the first sign of a slowdown in the recent upward leg. This is highlighted by a bearish engulfing pattern, which has wiped out the already weak movement of the previous two weeks. Additionally, this development coincides with the appearance of a lower low on the daily timeframe, further weakening the price structure.

The immediate focus is on identifying where the next low will form.
Two potential scenarios are outlined:

• Above 90k: The macrostructure would remain balanced, preserving a large consolidation range.
• Below the key support level of 87-90k: A more substantial medium-term retracement could be triggered, with the first target set at the 80-81k range.

Once a reaction from buyers becomes apparent, the next critical step will be observing the subsequent high. This will help determine the shape of the developing W pattern and provide insight into the market's evolving structure.

For now, the focus remains on waiting for the establishment of the low.

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