Hello HODLers!

The report by Standard Chartered suggests that Bitcoin is poised to reach new all-time highs by the end of 2024, driven by a variety of factors that go beyond the outcome of the U.S. presidential election. However, the election results could influence the pace at which Bitcoin grows.

The report estimates that under a Trump presidency, Bitcoin's price could surge to $125,000, while a Kamala Harris victory might see a slower increase, with Bitcoin potentially reaching $75,000. This projection is based on the expectation that Trump’s administration would likely accelerate regulatory reforms, particularly the repeal of strict regulations like SAB 121, which imposes tough accounting rules on banks holding digital assets. On the other hand, a Harris presidency might initially lead to market sell-offs due to slower regulatory reforms, though long-term growth would remain positive.

Aside from the political landscape, the report highlights several other positive catalysts for Bitcoin, such as institutional interest and the steepening of the U.S. Treasury curve, both of which support the cryptocurrency's optimistic outlook. Despite the expected volatility—especially in the event of a Harris win—the report maintains that long-term factors like regulatory progress and institutional adoption will drive Bitcoin's upward trajectory.

Lastly, predictive markets like Polymarket reflect a close race between the two candidates, with Harris slightly ahead. However, the report suggests that the long-term fundamentals of Bitcoin remain strong, regardless of who wins the election.

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