by **GL_Labo**

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🕒 4H Timeframe

BTC reacted well from our POI zone, reaching 104K.
Structure remains bearish on this timeframe. 50% of the LRLR range has been swept.

📍 Key observation:
113K remains a critical zone of interest.
A strong reclaim and hold above that could shift bias, but as of now, short structure dominates.

📆 1D Timeframe

Price reacted off the daily imbalance (IMB) and is trying to close above 104K and major volume levels.

Short-term path looks like:
➡️ 100.5K → 106K → 109K
But…

🔻 Bearish scenario:
A sweep to 113K followed by a sharp reversal toward 73K is very much in play.
The 86–105K range was heavily traded — a liquidity grab seems likely.

⚠️ Too much noise around a 150K target makes me skeptical.

📆1W Timeframe

Mid-term, the structure still leans bearish.
There’s uncollected liquidity at **71K** — I expect that to be swept eventually.

This setup may be part of a forming **Head & Shoulders pattern** on the macro chart.

🌐 Global news remains tense. While some view it as a buying opportunity, I stay cautious.

📅 1M Timeframe

Here’s where it gets interesting.

With one week left in the month, the **monthly close** will be key.
A potential upside wick to **113K+** at the start of next month is likely — driven by:

- FOMC expectations
- Interest rate cuts
- Risk-on momentum

Historically, BTC is in a rising channel, now hitting upper resistance.
Next move could be a **macro correction to the 72K level**, retesting monthly OB, BB, and sweeping liquidity.

Black Swan events or macro panic could accelerate this.

🔍 Summary

Structure: Still short-biased across 4H, 1W, 1M
Levels to watch: 106K → 113K → 100К → 72K
Narrative: Don't get trapped in the 150K hype
Macro: Fed decisions, global risk sentiment matter

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