I read everywhere that we’re in the early stages of a bull run. Honestly, I’m not sure about that. Timing the market has always been tricky, and I’d rather stick to projects with strong fundamentals regardless of the market phase.
So, here’s my approach: I look at ecosystems with the lowest market cap/TVL (Total Value Locked) ratio. Why? It’s a great indicator of undervalued networks. But let me be clear—Tron is off the table for me. Personal preference.
Here’s what I’m seeing based on the latest data:
1. Ethereum - and top layer-2s like Base
- TVL: $90.81B
- Market Cap/TVL Ratio: 4.6
- Strengths: It’s the DeFi king and has proven resilience.
- Weakness: Valuation is already high.
2. Solana
- TVL: $8.83B
- Market Cap/TVL Ratio: 10.62
- Strengths: Solid developer ecosystem, fast transactions.
- Weakness: A higher ratio suggests it’s pricier compared to TVL.
3. Aptos
- TVL: $1.67B
- Market Cap/TVL Ratio: 3.19
- Strengths: Undervalued relative to its TVL, partly due to recent FUD around Mo Shaikh’s resignation as CEO, which doesn’t actually change its strong fundamentals. The network remains scalable and developer-friendly.
- Weakness: The DeFi ecosystem is still building out compared to larger players like Solana or Ethereum.
I also excluded Sui because its recent pump has pushed valuations too high for my taste.
In short, my current bet is to look deeper into Ethereum and layer-2s like Base for their fundamentals. Solana also looks interesting but might be slightly overvalued at the moment, while Aptos seems like an overlooked opportunity due to market sentiment that doesn’t reflect its potential.
What do you think? Is the bull run real, or are these just the smartest plays regardless of the hype?