This new year 2025, besides being a square and cubic year (you can find that reference at any geek profile), looks like a new beginning, and I don’t have any logic or reasoning about it… I just feel it.
I was staying up late the almost-very-last day of this 2024 and wanted to check just some raw data of the “Popular Now” trend section here in Publish0x. The date is Dec 31st and I took data from the first ten articles that were displayed. These were my findings:
I wanted to get a glimpse of a simple predictor of success (a.k.a. profits), and of course, there are some aspects that I might be leaving behind, but it was interesting to find out that word count and followers were not as good predictors as “likes”, at least for the sample I took.
For the word count analysis, we can see that “the more the better” is not an heuristic to follow, and even though with a simple linear regression we cannot find any good correlation, we can find a supply-and-demand-esque shape that may help us a bit.
In the intersection of both curves we find the equilibrium with an approximate value of 900 words, pretty similar to the median (887.5 words) and mean (905.3 words) values.
If we consider followers as a sole predictor, we can barely see an increasing trend, where there is a little influence in the number of people willing to read the article given their follower status. We can disguise two different trends, a linear one and a power/logarithmic one, in both cases suggesting “the more followers, the more likely to increase the earnings per post”
What I found both as an obvious and astonishing result was the number of likes as a “predictor” of profit, with an amazing correlation factor above 0.95 (which indicates good fit). This is clear evidence that quality must reigns over quantity, which implies to find a balance.
But what would be quality in this case? We need to play around with niche and topics as well, it is clear that articles talking about crypto (chains, trading, investments, news, etc) would get praise in higher amounts than non-crypto related creative writing, music analysis, math, STEM, etc. That’s why I (and will) try to bring my expertise in science or my passion for other areas into the crypto world, earning some ETH or BTC in the way but also providing sime value. The use of images is important as well, something that I might analyze in another moment
A basic conclusion from this fairly simple and quick statistical analysis would be as follows:
Keep it short and simple (800-900 words, or about 3 to 4 minute reading long, or less), but as engaging and appealing enough for your building/built audience.
With that information I’m planning ahead my 2025 writings, not pursuing perfection or fan-servicing, but looking to merge my interests with my crypto-enthusiasm, the one that fluctuates alongside the market to be honest hehe. Let’s see what 2025 “HODLs” (pun intended) for my writing production, until then…
