Bitcoin (BTC) analysis: too little volume to break through $8,500

Bitcoin (BTC) analysis: too little volume to break through $8,500

By darianosch | crypto analysis | 9 Oct 2019


At the time of writing, BTC's price fluctuates at $8,200 on Bitstamp and trading volumes are low on the cards.

What do the charts tell us?

Bitcoin 4 hour chart

Bitcoin is starting a downward trend, a nice consolidation after the last increase. I see this as a healthy sign for bitcoin after the rise in 2019.

The fact that BTC remains calm means that the dominance of the largest crypto currency is decreasing somewhat: 66% at the time of writing.

We can see that the smaller crypto coins are getting some air and that they show some slight growth.

On the 4 hour chart we see that bitcoin has found support for the time being and has made a higher ground (figure 1 below, ed.).

It looks like Bitcoin wants to go up, but for this to happen we need to break through $8,500.

Until then, we will still be on the bearish side of the market. In orange are the possible targets as soon as an outbreak starts upwards.

We also park the $10,190 level for a while, because we judge this as a so-called future gap that can be filled sooner or later.

351665157-2fd122ef8aa6f7759d5975051d00c406d23da6a59d301fc8d384616cba4d9f6a.png

Figure 1: bitcoin (BTC) 4 hour graph (BitMEX)

Bitcoin daily chart

Why I'm still bearish is because bitcoin on the day chart remains below the 200 moving average (figure 2 below, ed.). This 200MA has proven to be a very important level in the history of Bitcoin.

It has to break first, before we go back to $8,800 and possibly $9,700.

If this rise has been, I expect a correction to the golden pocket around $6,900, which I discussed in my previous analysis.

The price could then shoot down slightly, but not much further than $6,500.

351665157-dbbcf416854259137043a7ae865be63acd44ca1450a18cc78ab524d5d933f547.png

Figure 2: bitcoin (BTC) day graph (BitMEX)

Bitcoin weekly chart

Bitcoin dips are bought quickly, which can be seen on the weekly chart of bitcoin below (figure 3 below, red.) . There is a lot of support and on a larger timeframe we are in a bullflag.

The chart looks positive and the expectation is still rising and we don't see a "bear market" happening yet.

As long as the bitcoin dominance (approx. 66%) continues to decrease, it is also nice to take a look at altcoins, because there is certainly something to trade here. But this is absolutely no financial advice. Trading in cryptic currency is very risky.

351665157-e5511dc223231b0dd4f70ec279dceb71e01aea5d58f92c09b122883c1ec20d9b.png

Figure 3: bitcoin (BTC) weekly chart (BitMEX)

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