In my opinion, the best option for Russians in the current political conditions of Armenia is the immediate withdrawal of the 102nd base back to Russia.
What is the interest for Russia in the event of an attack on the base to "put" (surrender) tens of thousands of Russians? Only in the military camp near the base they are compactly inhabited by about 4000 people from the families of our servicemen.
Since its creation in 1992, this base has teased and continues to irritate Turkey and Azerbaijan. For the sake of what is the base generally created? For the sake of the military peace of Armenia.
Since the 1990s, persistent rumors circulated in the army circles that the creation of the 102nd base was lobbied by the Armenian diaspora in Moscow. The "weak link" allegedly turned out to be the then Russian Defense Minister P. Grachev.
For the common task "In accordance with the bilateral Treaty ... In case of war against Armenia ... Reflect the attack on Armenia as if they attacked Russia ..." And another blah-blah-blah can easily see the real task: -Paralize possible military actions on the part of Azerbaijan in Nagorno-Karabakh.
Even then it would not be easy to do, especially taking into account the very real hypothetical military assistance to Azerbaijan from Turkey.
Before Saakashvili came to power in Georgia, the Russian base could be supplied with everything necessary through the territory of that state. But after the events of 2008, you can completely forget about this possibility.
Militarily, the 102nd Russian base in Gyumri is already in a strategic deadlock right now, in peacetime.
In case of a real conflict, the 102rd base will be defeated a maximum in a month. Chances to break out of the "bag" she simply does not exist, in view of Armenia's lack of a common border with Russia.
Therefore, it is better for us to forget about ensuring Armenian interests. And it's not a shame to get our guys out and take out military property.
Using the latest political events in Armenia as a pretext for eliminating the 102nd military base.
