Rumors suggest Walmart is already telling Chinese suppliers to ramp up shipping again. They seem to believe Trump may cave on tariffs soon. If so, expect a rally across risk-on assets — from the S&P 500 to alt-coins.
Let's break it down. 🧵
1. Why Trump's Tariffs Weigh on Risk-On Assets
Tariffs act like a tax on consumers and businesses.
Higher costs → lower profits → lower valuations.
Riskier assets (tech stocks, crypto) are hit hardest because they’re priced for growth.
If growth slows, their valuations collapse fast.
2. Why Backing Down Would Boost Tech Stocks
Tech companies rely heavily on global supply chains and low input costs.
Your iPhones are made in China — and building new facilities elsewhere would take years.
Tariff rollbacks → cheaper production → higher profit margins.
That gives companies like Apple, NVIDIA, and Tesla room to beat earnings again.
Markets love that.
3. How It Affects Bitcoin and Crypto
Bitcoin could serve as a hedge against sovereign currency devaluation, which is one kind of inflation.
But tariffs act like supply chain-induced inflation.
When that happens, people spend on what they must buy, and cut back elsewhere.
No tariffs → no cutting back → more liquidity → more speculative trading.
That's bullish not just for Bitcoin, but for the entire crypto market.
4. Why Alt-Coins Could Rip
Alt-coins are ultra-sensitive to liquidity surges.
When money flows into Bitcoin, it often overflows into smaller coins chasing higher returns.
If Trump caves, don’t be surprised to see 20%-50% moves in some alts.
(Though it could take a few days as traders first cycle profits from Bitcoin.)
5. Actionable Takeaways (NFA)
Watch for official announcements or leaks confirming tariff changes. It’s all back-channel rumor at the moment.
Tech stocks ($QQQ) would likely catch a strong bid.
Bitcoin could retest recent highs.
Selective alt-coins could fly. I’d look at the AI sector as they have shown the strongest relative strength recently.
Be sure to manage your risk, however, as nothing is guaranteed.
DYOR.
Happy Trading!
👉 "The next catalyst might not be a Fed cut... it could be Trump caving on tariffs. Stay sharp."
-Sebastian Purcell, PhD
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