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Crazy is The New Sane -- So, Let's Buy Discount Coins


It appears that the market has adjusted to Trump's style, where "crazy" headlines mark a typical day.

Chinese tariffs are likely real to some degree. Mexico and Canada too (eventually). But much is bluster.

The US Sovereign Wealth Fund is likely to buy crypto -- maybe even $ETH.

Within this environment, let's act like degens and go shopping for bargains.

 

1 $OndoFinance

$ondo is the only major coin with something approaching a -20% in the annualized funding rate across major exchanges.

That's the threshold, historically, for "overly pessimistic" outlooks.

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2 Reserve Rights ($RSR)

They're deep into the DeFi + RWA narratives. Currently, the coin is trading just above its 200-day simple moving average (red line).

This is among the best risk-reward coins of the ones we track -- assuming that you do sell when it closes below the SMA 200.

Looks like about 1:20 asymmetry at the moment

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3 Curve ($CRV)

This is a DeFi staple. It shot up in November with anticipation of Trump's new policies, but has nearly made a "round trip" since then.

Currently, it sits just above its SMA 200 (red line) and a historical support zone.

This one also has a risk-to-reward ratio of about 1:20.

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4 Concluding Thoughts

I'll note that our wallet has taken even more Smooth Brain actions -- such as buying $Luna on $virtual. Why?

Because that thing tends to hold at better than $30m in market cap and has reached better than $160m. Currently, it's at $21m.

Is that a smart buy? I have no idea, but a smooth-brained degen would do it. All of these coins have similar rationals: nice asymmetrical possibilities, but the overall environment that we're in is risky.

DYOR. NFA.

Happy Trading!

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-Sebastian Purcell, PhD


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This post is provided for educational and entertainment purposes only and should not be relied upon for business, investment, taxation, or legal advice. You should consult your own advisors for those matters. References to any securities or digital assets are for illustrative purposes only and do not constitute an investment recommendation or offer to provide investment advisory services. Furthermore, this content is not directed at nor intended for use by any investors or prospective investors, and may not under any circumstances be relied upon when making a decision to invest in any fund managed by 1.2 Capital Management. (An offering to invest in a 1.2 Capital Management fund will be made only by the private placement memorandum, subscription agreement, and other relevant documentation--all of which should be read in their entirety.) Any investments or portfolio companies mentioned, referred to, or described are not representative of all investments in vehicles managed by 1.2 Capital Management, and there can be no assurance that the investments will be profitable or that other investments made in the future will have similar characteristics or results.

 

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Sebastian Purcell, PhD
Sebastian Purcell, PhD

CEO for both 1.2 Capital and 1.2 Labs | I'm an academic turned crypto hedge fund manager and incubator director.


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